Election polling could be underestimating Kamala Harris, Democrats in key states, CNN data reporter warns
CNN data reporter Harry Enten argued that because Democrats were underestimated in polling from 2022, the same might be true for Harris
By Hanna Panreck Fox News
Published October 29, 2024 9:00pm EDT
CNN data reporter Harry Enten warned on Tuesday that election polling could be underestimating Vice President Kamala Harris rather than former President Trump, who has been historically underestimated in election polling in previous cycles.
"If the polls are going to underestimate Donald Trump, once again, that would be historically unprecedented," Enten said. "What normally happens is the pollsters catch on, ‘Hey, we‘re underestimating, we‘re not taking into account some part of the electorate.’ They make adjustments, and I think that helps to explain why we have never seen that the same party has been underestimated three times in a row in presidential elections, at least in the last 52 years."
CNN's John Berman also asked Enten about the 2022 midterm elections, when Democrats exceeded expectations, and what they might indicate about the polls in key swing states.
"What do we see in 2022 in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin? Well, it turns out that the average poll in those states actually underestimated Democrats by four points. It underestimated Democrats by four points. And I want to apply that to the electoral map because [if] it turns out that the polls underestimated the Democrats like they did in 2022, well Kamala Harris wins a sweep," Enten said.
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