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Online mystery-ak

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A Shift in the Race.. Byron York
« on: October 16, 2024, 10:50:55 am »
A Shift in the Race
Byron York


A few days ago, there was a report that the Harris campaign is in trouble and the Trump campaign is "extremely bullish" on former President Donald Trump's chances to win the presidency. The reporter, former ABC News journalist Mark Halperin, said his account is based on "robust private polling" and talks with sources on both sides. "She's in a lot of trouble," Halperin said of Vice President Kamala Harris. "Pennsylvania is tough for her right now. ... Wisconsin and Michigan are looking worse for Harris than before. ... The conversations I'm having with Trump people and Democrats with data are extremely bullish on Trump's chances in the last 48 hours. Extremely bullish."

Not long after, Trump himself released the results of the campaign's most recent swing-state polling. It showed Trump ahead in every state, although by small margins: up by 3 points in Arizona, by 5 in Georgia, by 1 in Michigan, by 3 in Nevada, by 1 in North Carolina, by 1 in Pennsylvania and by 1 in Wisconsin.

Meanwhile, nationally, Trump appears to be rising, and Harris falling. A new NBC News poll showed Trump actually ahead of Harris by a single point, 47% to 46%, in a matchup in which fringe candidates are included in the field, and tied, 48% to 48%, in a one-on-one matchup. Compare those to the last NBC News poll, in September, which showed Harris leading Trump, 49% to 44%.

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https://townhall.com/columnists/byronyork/2024/10/16/columnistsbyronyork20241015a-shift-in-the-race-n2646275
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Offline mountaineer

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Re: A Shift in the Race.. Byron York
« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2024, 11:23:18 am »
I wish Republicans wouldn't be so confident. Ooh, look at the polls! Trump's ahead!

Even if Trump wins a crucial state like Pa. or Ga. by 3%, we know darn well there will be Democrat fraud, where 100,000 ballots show up at the last minute.
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Offline mountaineer

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Re: A Shift in the Race.. Byron York
« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2024, 01:42:03 pm »
No doubt, NPR is in a panic. Nevertheless, do not be overconfident.

@FrankLuntz
The lead from @NPR: "Donald Trump once again appears to be in the driver’s seat in this presidential election.

https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/1846595864602857711
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The abnormal is not the normal just because it is prevalent.
Roger Kimball, in a talk at Hillsdale College, 1/29/25

Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: A Shift in the Race.. Byron York
« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2024, 01:49:30 pm »
Either he beats her by 5% or they will cheat the difference.

Vote like your country depends on it.

Do NOT mail your ballot.
I recently had a discussion with a vendor I have done business with for years. The last two months payments were late. The last one was postmarked at the sorting facility in Bismarck, ND on 9/30, having taken one day to get there from the mailbox in Williston, where I mailed it. So far so good. Then it took until 10/15 to get back to the vendor 8 miles from the box I mailed it off in. Do that with a ballot, and it won't count. The winners would have been announced long before the ballot arrives.
(God only knows how much people were assessed in late fees and what other complications arose from any other mail that was in that batch.)
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Offline DefiantMassRINO

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Re: A Shift in the Race.. Byron York
« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2024, 02:32:02 pm »
The Harris Campaign stopped focusing on policies and specifics and fallen into Trump's Meda Trap, which is when they only talk about Trump, and not their policies ... if they have any or any the voters can learn about before the Election.
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: A Shift in the Race.. Byron York
« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2024, 02:45:42 pm »
Quote from: DefiantMassRINO on October 16, 2024, 02:32:02 pm
The Harris Campaign stopped focusing on policies and specifics and fallen into Trump's Meda Trap, which is when they only talk about Trump, and not their policies ... if they have any or any the voters can learn about before the Election.
That would ordinarily be a problem for them, but so many voters are content to just hate on Trump, and damn the results.
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How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis
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