Biden, Trump Are Neck-And-Neck, But Is Winning 2024 Popular Vote Enough? I&I/TIPP Poll
Terry Jones
March 6, 2024
Each side in today’s often-angry political debate over the upcoming presidential election seems convinced that its candidate has a clear advantage. But, as of now, neither President Joe Biden nor former President Donald Trump has an obvious edge in the popular vote as we enter the final eight months of the 2024 election season, the latest I&I/TIPP Poll shows.
Despite being widely criticized for his lackluster campaign and showing continuing signs of age-related mental impairment, Biden holds a slender 43% to 42% lead over Trump. The online national poll of 1,246 registered voters was taken from Feb. 28 to March 1, with a margin of error of +/-2.8 percentage points.
Among those taking the poll, 8% said they preferred someone “other” than Biden or Trump, while 7% said they were “not sure.”
The partisan breakdown was fairly even, with 85% of Dems favoring Biden and 86% of Republicans favoring Trump. Among independents, a crucial swing vote for both candidates, the prospective vote broke 37% in favor of Trump, 36% in favor of Biden, with a hefty 16% saying “other” and 11% “not sure.”
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https://issuesinsights.com/2024/03/06/biden-trump-stay-neck-and-neck-but-will-winning-2024-popular-vote-be-enough-ii-tipp-poll/