Less Than Half Of Republican Voters Would Back Trump In 2024 Primary, Poll Finds
Alison DurkeeForbes Staff
Nov 10, 2022,08:21am EST
Topline
Support among Republican primary voters for former President Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential bid has fallen by nine percentage points since August, a new Morning Consult poll finds—while Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ popularity has grown—as many Republicans blame Trump and question his presidential run after a “red wave” failed to materialize in Tuesday’s midterm elections.
Key Facts
The poll, conducted before Tuesday’s midterms from November 2-7, found 48% of potential Republican primary voters would support Trump if the primaries were held today, versus 26% who’d back DeSantis and 26% who want to vote for someone else.
That’s down from a high of 57% who backed Trump in August, and his support has steadily decreased since, with 52% saying they’d vote for him in September and 49% in October.
DeSantis, widely viewed as Trump’s primary rival for the 2024 nomination, has seen his popularity rise in that time, going up to 26% from 18% in August, 19% in September and 24% in October, while the share who want a different candidate has stayed largely unchanged (except in September, when it increased to 29% before going down again).
Morning Consult found Trump supporters skew slightly younger than DeSantis supporters—with 75% being under age 65 versus 66% of DeSantis backers, and 19% being ages 18-24 versus 15% for DeSantis—and are overall less educated, with 29% who have attended college or graduate school versus 48% who prefer the Florida governor.
Trump also has more female supporters than DeSantis—women made up 54% of his voters while DeSantis’ were evenly split at 50%—and respondents who plan to vote for the ex-president have slightly lower incomes (only 18% make more than $100,000 annually, versus 30% of DeSantis voters).
DeSantis also appears to have an edge with suburban voters, who made up 60% of his support base, while Trump polled higher with rural and urban respondents.
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https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2022/11/10/less-than-half-of-republican-voters-would-back-trump-in-2024-primary-poll-finds/?sh=2ea87b67a0f6