Pollster with Best Record from 2016 Says Trump is Now Leading, Likely to Win

[mystery-ak]

Pollster with Best Record from 2016 Says Trump is Now Leading, Likely to Win

The Trafalgar Group polling firm was one of the few pollsters that correctly saw the 2016 election surge for Donald Trump.

Published 2 hours ago

on September 23, 2020

By Warner Todd Huston

The Trafalgar Group polling firm was one of the few pollsters that correctly saw the 2016 election surge for Donald Trump and predicted that he would win the election over Hillary Clinton.

When nearly every other polling firm had Hillary running away with the election in 2016, Trafalgar thought that Trump could well pull out a tight victory. Obviously, they were right.

Now Trafalgar is warning other pollsters of the “hidden” Trump voters and is predicting that Trump is actually now just barely leading Joe Biden in many states. This is in stark contrast to almost all the other polling firms that have Biden up from four to six points and more over Trump.

According to Just The News: https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/polling/trafalgar-group-pollsters-find-hard-reach-trump-voters-shows-potus-ahead

more
https://thewashingtonsentinel.com/pollster-with-best-record-from-2016-says-trump-is-now-leading-likely-to-win/

[mystery-ak]

Biden leads Trump across six battleground states: poll

Across Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the former vice president nets a 4-point advantage over Trump. Nationally, Biden’s lead grows to 9 points, up 3 points since a CNBC-Change Research poll released earlier this month.

The latest poll shows Biden expanding his lead across three battleground states: Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin. In Arizona, the former vice president leads Trump 49-43 percent. In Michigan and Wisconsin, his advantage is even more significant; he leads Trump in those states 51-43 percent and 51-42 percent, respectively.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/517747-biden-leads-trump-across-six-battleground-states-poll


This poll used all likely voters [so it says] but doesn't say how many Repubs or Dems...also was taken after Ginsburg's death.

[truth_seeker]

The "truth-seeker" poll reminds the ectoral College, NOT popular votes. Counts

Reflect on this.

[mystery-ak]

Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
·
4m
Breaking new national @QuinnipiacPoll
 (LVs):

Biden 52%
Trump 42%

(same as 9/2 poll)



John Harwood
@JohnJHarwood
·
5m
new Marquette Law national likely-voter poll:

Biden 50%
Trump 40%