A U.S.-Taliban Deal Is Likely. Peace in Afghanistan Is Not.

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A U.S.-Taliban Deal Is Likely. Peace in Afghanistan Is Not.

Faisel Pervaiz


 Oct 3, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
 
As the U.S. conflict in Afghanistan enters its 19th year, several significant developments have unfolded in recent weeks that will shape the country's security and governance dynamics.
Highlights

    The wider war in Afghanistan will continue until the Taliban and the Afghan government agree to a nationwide cease-fire in separate talks.

    The continued violence will cause hiccups in U.S.-Taliban negotiations, but their mutual desire for a political settlement will still eventually yield a limited peace deal.

    The prospects for long-term stability in Afghanistan, however, will be dictated more by the Afghan government that emerges following Sept. 28 elections.

https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/us-taliban-deal-likely-peace-afghanistan-not-war-election?id=090f60d98c&e=e80586c7d6&uuid=717e1104-4747-42f4-8077-11883dd0442a&utm_source=The%20Weekly%20Rundown&utm_campaign=6d9d092d66-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_10_05_08_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_090f60d98c-6d9d092d66-53972681&mc_cid=6d9d092d66&mc_eid=%5BUNIQID%5D