Pollsters on Democrats and the fall elections
Pollsters: Dems will take back House, 6/22/2018
A panel of pollsters is predicting that Democrats will win back 23 seats in this year’s midterm elections, enough to win back the house majority.
Hill.TV’s “What America’s Thinking†canvassed its panel of pollsters on how many seats Democrats will gain.
The average answer for the first-ever Poll of Pollsters was 23 seats, the show announced Friday.
That’s exactly the number that Democrats need to flip control of the chamber from Republicans.
“I feel like if 2016 taught us nothing, it is we should not make predictions. So I’m doing this under duress I’ll have you know,†joked pollster Anna Greenberg, who predicted Democrats would gain 25 seats.
Republican pollster Ed Goeas of the Tarrance Group predicted it was a “better than even chance†that Democrats reclaim control of the House for the first time in eight years.
He predicted Democrats would net 23 seats.
Carly Cooperman, a partner at Schoen Consulting and a Democratic pollster, predicted a gain of 24 seats. “We see the generic vote is in the Democratic favor and a lot of the competitive seats are held by Republicans,†she said.
Former Clinton pollster Mark Penn predicted a gain of 28 seats for Democrats.
The Poll of Pollsters is an unscientific survey. It canvasses about two-dozen top pollsters in the country on a question of public interest and then averages the total of the answers.
http://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/393713-pollsters-dems-will-take-back-house
