Author Topic: The timebomb under Yellowstone: Experts warn of 90,000 immediate deaths and a 'nuclear winter' across the US if supervolcano erupts  (Read 1684 times)

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rangerrebew

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The timebomb under Yellowstone: Experts warn of 90,000 immediate deaths and a 'nuclear winter' across the US if supervolcano erupts
It could release 1 ft layer of molten ash 1,000 miles from the National Park
It would be 1,000 times as powerful as the 1980 Mount St Helens eruption
A haze would drap over the United States, causing temperatures to drop
Experts say there is a 1 in 700,000 annual chance of a eruption at the site

By Ellie Zolfagharifard For Dailymail.com 

Published: 13:08 EST, 7 August 2015  | Updated: 02:14 EST, 8 August 2015 

 

A supervolcano in the heart of America's northwest has the potential to blanket the US in a 'nuclear winter'.

If it were to erupt, the Yellowstone supervolcano would be one thousand times as powerful as the 1980 Mount St Helens eruption, experts claim.

While it has lain dormant for more than 70,000 years, scientists say that we can't rule out the possibility eruption this may some day take place - although they say the chances are extremely slim.

The volcano at Yellowstone National Park in Wyoming and Montana sits atop a huge reserve of molten rock and last erupted 640,000 years ago.

It is one of the largest active continental silicic volcanic fields in the world. Silicic is used to describe magma or igneous rock rich in silica.

Experts say there is a one in 700,000 annual chance of a volcanic eruption at the site.

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An in-depth report by HowStuffWorks has revealed the process that would take place if the volcano were to blow.

It says that a mixture of magma, rocks, vapour, carbon dioxide and other gases would eventually push out from the ground, creating a dome shape with cracks.

The dissolved gases would them explode, releasing the magmaacross the park.


The eruption, the say, could kill as many as 90,000 people almost instantly and release a 10 ft (3-meter) layer of molten ash 1,000 miles (1,609km) from the park.

'The ash would block off all points of entry from the ground, and the spread of ash and gases into the atmosphere would stop most air travel, just as it did when a much smaller volcano erupted in Iceland in 2010,' the magazine writes.

'Sulphuric gases released from the volcano would spring into the atmosphere and mix with the planet's water vapour.

'The haze of gas that could drape the country wouldn't just dim the sunlight — it also would cool temperatures.'


In the heart of Yellowstone National Park, a supervolcano releases around 45,000 metric tonnes of carbon dioxide each day.

But the magma chamber lying directly beneath its surface is not considered large enough to produce such levels, so researchers have been searching for an alternative source for years.

In April, by tracking seismic waves, geophysicists discovered a huge secondary chamber deeper underground that's so large its partly-molten rock could fill the Grand Canyon 11 times over.

Previous research found a relatively small magma chamber, known as the upper-crustal magma reservoir, directly beneath the surface in 2013 that measures 2,500 cubic miles (10,420 cubic km).

To discover the latest chamber, Hsin-Hua Huang from the University of Utah and his colleagues tracked seismic waves from almost 5,000 earthquakes.

These readings combined data from the University of Utah Seismograph Stations, which collected shallow readings from nearby quakes in Utah, Idaho, the Teton Range and Yellowstone, and from the Earthscope array, which revealed deeper readings from temblors from more further afield.

Each of these quakes created waves that echoed around the supervolcano.

The movement and structure of these waves could then be used to map the earth beneath.



The researchers said in their paper: 'The Yellowstone magmatic system from the mantle plume to the upper crust', published in the journal Science, that the reservoir contains around 98 per cent hot rock.

The remaining 2 per cent is molten rock and is too deep to directly cause an eruption, they added.

It adds that falling temperatures would damage our food supply, destroying crops and causing a worldwide food shortage. 


But not every believes a Yellowstone eruption would be as catastrophic as this. 

Last year, a study by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) concluded that a volcanic eruption at Yellowstone would cover cities across the country with ash and shut down air travel and communications.

But it added that it would not herald the end of the United States as we know it, as the latest report has claimed.

The scientists used the program called Ash 3D to model the effects of a Yellowstone 'super eruption' and found that cities up to 300 miles from the park would be covered by up to three feet of ash.

Cities further afield in the Midwest would be covered by a few inches and coastal cities such as New York and California would get only a fraction of an inch.

An eruption at Yellowstone would create an 'umbrella cloud' of ash which would expand evenly in all directions driven by the force of the seismic event.

'In essence, the eruption makes its own winds that can overcome the prevailing westerlies, which normally dominate weather patterns in the US,' said Larry Mastin, the lead author of the new paper.

Even these smaller levels of ash would be a disaster for the US.

The USGS study says that electronic communication and air travel throughout the country would be shut down by an eruption.

A huge cloud of ash thousands of miles across would also likely cause a year-long winter, say the study authors.

The 1815 eruption of Mount Tambora in the Pacific produced an ash cloud tens of miles across caused 'a year without a summer' across the globe with snowfall in the North Eastern United States in June.

Areas covered in feet of ash would see buildings at risk of collapse and sewer and water lines blocked, and winds would form large dunes of ash that would cover roads and buildings.


Farming in the Midwest would be devastated by the cloud of ash, and highways across the country would become slippy and treacherous.

The Yellowstone volcano has had three super eruptions - which produce more than 240 cubic miles of ash' in the past.

One was 2.1 million years ago, another 1.3 million years ago and a third 640,000 years ago.

Ash from these eruptions has been found across the US on the east and west coasts.

The last volcanic activity at Yellowstone was 70,000 years ago which produced a lava flow in the south of the park.

In April, scientists at the University of Utah discovered an enormous secondary chamber deeper beneath Yellowstone National Park that's so large it is partly-molten rock could fill the Grand Canyon 11 times over.


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3189619/What-happen-Yellowstone-s-supervolcano-erupted-Experts-warn-90-000-immediate-deaths-nuclear-winter-US.html#ixzz3iKQJTffG
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Online DCPatriot

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1 in 700,000?

IOW...better chance of this happening than you winning the Mega Millions lottery.   :whistle:

And yet, somebody wins the lottery fairly often.

Seriously though...sometimes I wonder if that is the reason our government is training/practicing 'urban warfare' in places like Texas, etc..

OTOH...how many of us haven't...even as kids, thought about our Sun burning out during our lifetime?  Truth is, a century of time doesn't even register in our planet's history.  A blink of an eye is longer...in perspective.
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Don't tread on me.   8888madkitty

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Oceander

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It'll be blamed on republicans and conservatives if it goes off.

Offline truth_seeker

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"Experts say there is a 1 in 700,000 annual chance of a eruption at the site"

Probably help keep the population of Wyoming down. I camped in "Jelly Stone" many times as a kid.

Still have relatives in and around Cody. It was pointed out to me, that although Cody is the largest and the principle town in the region, it still had only one traffic signal.



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Offline jmyrlefuller

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1 in 700,000?

IOW...better chance of this happening than you winning the Mega Millions lottery.   :whistle:

And yet, somebody wins the lottery fairly often.
That's only because tens of millions of bets are placed each go-round. The chance of it happening to someone in the country in that time frame is in the 1 in single digits.
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Oceander

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That's only because tens of millions of bets are placed each go-round. The chance of it happening to someone in the country in that time frame is in the 1 in single digits.


good point.

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That's only because tens of millions of bets are placed each go-round. The chance of it happening to someone in the country in that time frame is in the 1 in single digits.

That's true, but the real point was that the odds are better for the Yellowstone eruption, than winning the lottery. 
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

"Journalism is about covering the news.  With a pillow.  Until it stops moving."    - David Burge (Iowahawk)

"It was only a sunny smile, and little it cost in the giving, but like morning light it scattered the night and made the day worth living" F. Scott Fitzgerald

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Has it been 4 years already? Time flies. The Mail runs this exact same story in August every 4 years like clock-work.
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Online DCPatriot

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Has it been 4 years already? Time flies. The Mail runs this exact same story in August every 4 years like clock-work.

 :laugh:
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

"Journalism is about covering the news.  With a pillow.  Until it stops moving."    - David Burge (Iowahawk)

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Kiddies, if Yellowstone blows like it did the last time - it's over. I mean ALL over. Like less than 100K people left on Earth 5 years after.

That magnitude of eruption will be a mass extinction event. To worry about it is pointless as you likely won't live very long after it happens.
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Eh, we recovered from worse. Had a die out a few thousand years ago that brought the sum total of humanity down to about 10,000.
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Oceander

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That's true, but the real point was that the odds are better for the Yellowstone eruption, than winning the lottery. 


But that doesn't matter because there aren't millions of potential Yellowstones sitting around waiting to go off.


The odds of any one play winning the powerball is 1 in 292,201,338

If 10 people each choose a different number, the odds that one of the 10 will win become 1 to 29,220,134.

If 1,000 people each choose a different number, the odds that one of them will win become 1 to 292,201

If 1,000,000 people each choose a different number, the odds that one of them will win become 1 to 292.

The US population is about 319 million.  That means that if you gave one different ticket to less than the total population of the US (specifically, the first 292,201,338) the chances of there being a winner would be 1 to 1.  In other words, you would know that one person would definitely be getting the money.


If we assume that, in general, of all the people who play powerball, there are only 1 million separate combinations chosen, then the odds of there being a winning ticket (or more if more than 1 person chose the winning combination) are about 1 to 292.

To bring the odds of a yellowstone eruption happening down to those levels, you would have to have about 2,400 yellowstones sitting around waiting to blow.  That's about 48 yellowstones per state.