The bubble will be in the debt, the creditors, credit default swaps, and private capital markets.
Contagion would lead to a liquidity crisis in the makets.
Some of these companies have debt-to-equity ratios greater than 100%. They've gone from cash-flow positive to cash flow negative.
If there is significant delay in data center construction, expansions, upgrades, or re-purposing, that increases the carrying costs of the debt and delays the realization of projected revenue streams.
Compute is G-damned expensive, mainly for electricity.
The high cost will be a barrier-to-entry who use it to create AI kitten pictures and videos, but may provide significant efficiency returns and structural cost reductions for those that can afford it and have legitimate business cases to justify the cost.
Now, Texas has now put a halt on data center construction approvals.
Any state with natural gas, petroleum gas, coal, or nuclear has an opporunity for the data center buildout - like Wyoming, North Dakota, West Virginia, Kentucky, Louisiana, and Oklahoma. This could be a boon for Red States to steal high-tech industry from Blue States.
Any state that can provide fuel, generation, and transmission - all intrastate - will be able to kick-ass and take names if they fast-track datacenter construction.
Has anyone evaluated locating generation and datacenters in Native American reservations to bypass state and local regulators?