Analysis: Robert Koch Institute’s Heat Death Model Is “A Joke”… Deaths “Assumed” To Be Due To Heat
11 hours ago Guest Blogger 26 Comments
By P Gosselin
“Heat Deaths” According to the RKI
By Frank Bosse
There is a publication by the RKI [Robert Koch Institute] on “Heat and Excess Mortality in Germany.”
The methodology is also explained in it: calendar weeks with a mean temperature above 20°C are filtered out, and then the excess mortality figures provided by the Federal Statistical Office for these periods are declared to be “heat deaths.”
The “model” is simple and delivers the desired results: this year, up to calendar week 29, we have already seen nearly 10,000 heat deaths. A distinction between “from heat” or “with heat” is not even attempted (just as with the Covid-19 deaths), even though it could be very important for assessing the actual cause of a death. The headline is set and eagerly quoted.
The 3rd figure from the RKI shows deaths per year starting from 2016. They occur in the summer months. What could be more obvious than building an (equally) simple model that directly links annual death figures with average summer temperatures? This “model” also doesn’t care about real physiology and the actual impact of heat on human beings.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2026/08/02/analysis-robert-koch-institutes-heat-death-model-is-a-joke-deaths-assumed-to-be-due-to-heat/
