The Global Catastrophic Risk Assessment – in Two Charts
2 days ago Kip Hansen
News Brief by Kip Hansen — 15 November 2024
“In 2022, Congress passed the Global Catastrophic Risk Management Act (GCRMA). The GCRMA requires the Secretary of Homeland Security and the administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to coordinate an assessment of global catastrophic and existential risk in the next 30 years.”
Now, the Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center (HSOAC) has produced this assessment. In reality, the report is produced by a unit of the RAND Corporation: “RAND’s Homeland Security Research Division (HSRD) operates the Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center (HSOAC)”.
The report, titled simply “Global Catastrophic Risk Assessment”, focuses on risk associated with six topics:
1) artificial intelligence, 2) asteroid and comet impacts, 3) nuclear war, 4) rapid and severe climate change, 5) severe pandemics, and 6) supervolcanoes.
Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. writes about the governmental report on his substack under his title “Global Existential Risks”. Pielke Jr.’s piece is well worth reading in its entirety, but is summarized, for readers here, in one excerpted chart from the full RAND-produced report followed by Pielke’s summary chart.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/11/15/the-global-catastrophic-risk-assessment-in-two-charts/
