Harris is in serious trouble if the popular vote is close
By
Jeremiah Poff
October 25, 2024 3:18 pm
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With less than two weeks to go until Election Day, former President Donald Trump is polling better than he ever has nationally, raising the very real prospect that he could win the national popular vote, and in the process, doom the electoral chances of Vice President Kamala Harris.
As of Friday, Trump and Harris are tied in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls. Harris had consistently led the former president since Aug. 5, expanding her lead to as much as two points, as recently as Oct. 8.
The final New York Times/Siena poll, released Friday, found Trump and Harris tied at 48% each. A recent Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump leading 49% to 46%, and a CNBC poll has Trump leading 48% to 46%. Harris did lead in a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll 48% to 45%, but the race is a dead heat nationally, just as it is in the swing state polls.
Now, the national polls and the national popular vote are meaningless when it comes to who gets elected to the presidency. But the state of the national polls can tell us a thing or two about the Electoral College and the race to 270 electoral votes. And it boils down to this: Harris is in serious trouble if the national polls are this tight.
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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/3203464/harris-in-trouble-if-popular-vote-is-close/
