A schism in climate science
13 Jun, 2024
Dr David Whitehouse
2023 was the warmest year of the instrumental era
Many researchers are looking with apprehension to see what happens between now and the end of the year, as the warming El Niño fades and the cooling La Niña takes over. The stakes are high. This year could be a decisive one for the credibility of climate models.
The current El Niño commenced in June 2023 and provided a release valve for the excess heat stored over previous years in the Pacific Ocean. It propelled the planet into uncharted territory and has climate scientists rattled, in a rare show of disagreement. The fact is that they don’t have a good explanation for why it is so hot.
For some, this is just the latest blow to the credibility of the field, coming after earlier problems such as the failure to find an explanation for the lack of global surface warming between 2002 and 2014. Others maintain that that until last year, climate scientists were pretty good at explaining things. Whatever way you look at it, the recent warmth has caused a schism in climate science.
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