The Road To Green Is Paved With Bad Assumptions

[rangerrebew]

 Written by Scott W. Tinker on Oct 30, 2021. Posted in Latest news
The Road To Green Is Paved With Bad Assumptions

urban cityWhile global leaders prepare to trek to Glasgow for COP26 – the United Nations Climate Change conference – Asia, Europe, and Britain are experiencing energy crises, largely politically self-inflicted.

The public is paying the price.

Meanwhile, COP26 aims to “accelerate action toward the goals of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change” and the goal of net-zero emissions.

The idea is that if the world could balance human-sourced emissions of greenhouse gases with equivalent emissions removals, warming could stay below 1.5 degrees Celsius.

As the guide for getting to net-zero emissions, the International Energy Agency (IEA) – an intergovernmental organization often called the “world’s energy watchdog” – published its “Net Zero by 2050: A Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector” in May of this year, where it describes a “narrow but achievable” path to net-zero emissions.

https://climatechangedispatch.com/the-road-to-green-is-paved-with-bad-assumptions/

[Joe Wooten]

The ONLY way that will happen is to establish a new feudal society where 90%+ of the world's population dies, then the remainder lives short nasty lives as subsistence peasants with 3000 to 4000 aristocrats to rule them from their climate controlled castles along with a couple hundred thousand soldiers to keep the peasants at bay.

[IsailedawayfromFR]

Assumption No. 1: No new oil and gas fields, and no new coal mines or mine extensions.

In the roadmap, unabated coal demand declines by 98 percent, when in fact coal in Asia continues to expand significantly. Oil consumption declines by 75 percent, and natural gas by 55 percent.

These fuels are replaced within the roadmap in part by expanding wood, biomass, and biofuels, even though bioenergy has been shown by many studies not to be particularly “green.”

Assumption No. 2: While population and the global economy continue to grow, global energy use actually declines.

This requires an annual rate of energy intensity improvements averaging 4 percent to 2030, about three times the average rate of the past two decades. Never before have population and economic growth detached from energy consumption.

Even in the most remarkable of efficiency assumptions, it is hard to envision this arbitrary global reduction in energy consumption.

Assumption No. 3: Two-thirds of the total energy supply in 2050 will come from wind, solar, bioenergy, geothermal and hydro.

Solar alone would account for one-fifth of total energy in the roadmap – with solar photovoltaic capacity increasing 2,000 percent and wind increasing 1,100 percent.

One challenge not often considered for such unprecedented growth in turbines and panels, and the batteries to back them up, is the environmental damage, human rights violations, and national security issues associated with the mining, manufacturing, and landfill disposal required.

Assumption No. 4: In the roadmap, per capita CO2 emissions in developed economies, currently around 10 tons, and in emerging and developing economies – for the more than 6 billion people other on Earth – currently around 4 tons, decline to zero.

In reality, per capita, CO2 emissions in emerging and developing nations, which have the largest and fastest-growing populations and economies, will continue to rise long before they fall.

Assumption No. 5: Investments in end-use energy, energy infrastructure, electricity generation, and low emissions fuels rise from just over $1 trillion annually to $4 trillion; cumulatively around $120 trillion in the next 28 years. Staggering.

[IsailedawayfromFR]

The ONLY way that will happen is to establish a new feudal society where 90%+ of the world's population dies, then the remainder lives short nasty lives as subsistence peasants with 3000 to 4000 aristocrats to rule them from their climate controlled castles along with a couple hundred thousand soldiers to keep the peasants at bay.

That feudal society will likely be in China which will never go along with any of this hubris.

[LegalAmerican]

So vegetation is MORE important than human beings!   We are to use, not abuse, all that is in, on, in the air and ocean..to use have dominion over.  NOT VEGETATION.   


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7W33HRc1A6c&t=3s

[Kamaji]

Bad assumptions, corruption, and venality.

[mountaineer]

Thousands of fat cat politicians jetted to Scotland for the latest climate conference, along with their hundreds of gasoline-powered vehicles. And then there's this:

Susan B.
@stballin620
Bill Gates held a 4 hour Birthday party in Turkey, 50 people were flown in private helicopters from their yachts  anchored offshore...

These are the people who want you to take the bus to work and make other sacrifices for climate change.
8:26 AM · Nov 1, 2021·

How about you liars and hypocrites stop telling me what to do?