Professor with history of correctly predicting elections forecasts that Biden will defeat Trump
By Marina Pitofsky - 08/05/20 05:18 PM EDT
American University professor Allan Lichtman, who has a record of accurately predicting presidential races, said he expects former Vice President Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee, to defeat President Trump in November.
Lichtman was one of the few forecasters who predicted the president’s election in 2016. Over decades of observing presidential politics, he has developed a system of 13 “key factors†to help determine whether the party in the White House will maintain its hold. The keys range from whether the party has an incumbent president running to short- and long-term economic conditions.
“The keys predict that Trump will lose the White House,†the professor said in a video op-ed published by The New York Times Wednesday.
Lichtman claims to have accurately predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1984, though he predicted that former Vice President Al Gore would win the election in 2000. Although Gore won the popular vote, former President George Bush won the electoral college.
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https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/510754-professor-with-history-of-correctly-predicting-elections-forecasts-that