Toss-Up? New Poll Shows Republican In Dead Heat With Sen. Bob Menendez

[Free Vulcan]

Democrats thinking the New Jersey election for the U.S. Senate would be an easy seat to hold on to may have to adjust their expectations.

A new poll from Stockton University released Monday shows Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ) just two points ahead of his Republican challenger, Bob Hugin, the retired executive chairman of the biopharmaceutical company Celgene Corporation. Menendez leads Hugin 45% to 43%, and Libertarian candidate Murray Sabrin sits at 3% in the poll.

The poll also found Menendez continues to be an unpopular candidate, with just 30% of New Jerseyans having a favorable opinion of him and 54% having an unfavorable opinion. Working for the Menendez campaign, however, is the fact that 43% of New Jersey residents have not heard of Hugin.

https://www.dailywire.com/news/36545/toss-new-poll-shows-republican-dead-heat-sen-bob-ashe-schow

[Fishrrman]

It's gonna be close, but methinks Menendez will muddle through...

[WarmPotato]

We need to close the borders and stop these tight races

[Concerned]

Toss up?  Very unlikely IMO.  I'd absolutely love to see Hugin win but that's a longshot IMO.  Even if the Stockton poll is correct and the race is at 45% to 43% with the Libertarian at 3%.  That means that Hugin would have to garner 6% out of the 9% undecided (assuming Menandez gets the balance):  that's unlikely IMO. 

Further, the RCP average has Menandez with a 6% lead and the latest Quinnipiac poll has Menandez up by 11%.  A Menandez win closer to the 6% to 11% range seems pretty likely to me in Blue NJ (unfortunately).

@Freya

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/nj/new_jersey_senate_hugin_vs_menendez-6506.html