New Model With Three Fates For Civilization - Simplifications Don't Apply To Earth - On Track To Support 11 Billion From 2100 On
By Robert Walker | June 4th 2018 03:57 AM | Print | E-mail
Short summary: This is a first paper in what they hope to be a long term study. It’s an interesting project, but it should not be used to predict what will happen to Earth in the future. Instead we should rely on projections by the scientsts who are studying the effects of climate change, our population growth, predicting food security and looking at the intricate details of how oour world works. And they say we will be able to feed 11 billion people by 2100 if we continue on target with the things we are doing to make sure it happens. It requires work, it's not going to happen automatically, but we can do it, and with food security as well. And with plenty of power too.
Their research is at far too early a stage to be relevant to any of that. It makes many simplifying assumptions that do not apply to Earth as it is now. But their aim wasn't to predict what would happen to Earth. It was to try to get a general picture of what can happen to all possible exoplanet civilizations. A huge project that they are just making a start on.
http://www.science20.com/robert_walker/new_model_with_three_fates_for_civilization_simplifications_dont_apply_to_earth_on_track_to_support_11_billion
