Author Topic: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce  (Read 580 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« on: July 23, 2016, 12:14:27 pm »
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/why-trump-and-clinton-might-not-get-a-convention-bounce-225828

 Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce

Divisions, controversy, and highly negative feelings toward the two candidates could erase the traditional post-convention bump in the polls.

By Steven Shepard

07/23/16 07:40 AM EDT

CLEVELAND — Donald Trump's convention is over. But don't count on a convention bounce.

The sizable polling bump that typically follows four days of saturation media coverage probably isn't coming.

Hillary Clinton is also unlikely to receive much of a bounce after Democrats' gather next week in Philadelphia. The reason? Trump and Clinton are two of the most unpopular presidential nominees in recent electoral history, and voters' mostly negative feelings about both of them are well-formed. That lends a level of stability to the race and means neither candidate is likely to bound out of the next two weeks with additional momentum, according to pollsters.

Then there's the issue of party unity. Many top Republican officials still haven’t rallied to Trump’s side, and one, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, snubbed the nominee in his nationally televised speech Wednesday night. Combine that with a series of other unforced errors, like Melania Trump's plagarized speech on Monday night.

All that division and controversy could undermine the chances of a Trump bump.

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Offline Mechanicos

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2016, 12:35:38 pm »
Because the polls are fake?
And nobody with a brain on the right is going to care what Political says on Trump.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/06/21/politicos-army-of-democrats-driving-anti-trump-narrative/
« Last Edit: July 23, 2016, 12:37:38 pm by Mechanicos »
Trump is for America First.
"Crooked Hillary Clinton is the Secretary of the Status Quo – and wherever Hillary Clinton goes, corruption and scandal follow." D. Trump 7/11/16

Did you know that the word ‘gullible’ is not in the dictionary?

Isaiah 54:17

debrawiest

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2016, 12:41:08 pm »
Because they both suck as candidates and our country is in dire straights?

Offline LMAO

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2016, 01:44:13 pm »
Because the polls are fake?
And nobody with a brain on the right is going to care what Political says on Trump.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/06/21/politicos-army-of-democrats-driving-anti-trump-narrative/

Unless they show Trump winning something. Then they're are real
I have little interest in streamlining government or in making it more efficient, for I mean to reduce its size. I do not undertake to promote welfare, for I propose to extend freedom. My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them.

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Offline LMAO

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2016, 01:46:11 pm »
Because they both suck as candidates and our country is in dire straights?

True. They may get a small bump that will be short lived. The fact remains they both are the two most disliked candidates we have ever been graced with.
« Last Edit: July 23, 2016, 01:46:30 pm by LMAO »
I have little interest in streamlining government or in making it more efficient, for I mean to reduce its size. I do not undertake to promote welfare, for I propose to extend freedom. My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them.

Barry Goldwater

http://www.usdebtclock.org

My Avatar is my adult autistic son Tommy

Offline austingirl

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2016, 01:47:30 pm »
Because we know we have a choice between a criminal who has no soul or conscience and narcissist who has no moral core and is vindictive. :pondering:
« Last Edit: July 23, 2016, 01:49:33 pm by austingirl »
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Offline Mechanicos

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2016, 01:51:15 pm »
Unless they show Trump winning something. Then they're are real
Nope never real, but useful against people who believe in them.
Trump is for America First.
"Crooked Hillary Clinton is the Secretary of the Status Quo – and wherever Hillary Clinton goes, corruption and scandal follow." D. Trump 7/11/16

Did you know that the word ‘gullible’ is not in the dictionary?

Isaiah 54:17

Offline LMAO

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2016, 01:56:37 pm »
Nope never real, but useful against people who believe in them.

I wonder sometimes if you really are a troll or if you believe half of what you post? If you're a troll, you're a good one. If not, well........

You post polls all the time that have good news for Trump. I've asked you several questions in the past regarding polls that you still refuse to answer
I have little interest in streamlining government or in making it more efficient, for I mean to reduce its size. I do not undertake to promote welfare, for I propose to extend freedom. My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them.

Barry Goldwater

http://www.usdebtclock.org

My Avatar is my adult autistic son Tommy

Offline Just_Victor

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2016, 01:58:38 pm »
Unless they show Trump winning something. Then they're are real

Polls are always fake when Trump supporters don't like the results.
If all I want is a warm feeling, I should just wet my pants.

Offline LMAO

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2016, 02:01:54 pm »
Polls are always fake when Trump supporters don't like the results.

Remember the good old days when the polls were fake with Romney and Obama? Limbaugh even reassured us a Romney landslide, despite the polls, was in the making :silly:

But I'm sure this time is different, right?
I have little interest in streamlining government or in making it more efficient, for I mean to reduce its size. I do not undertake to promote welfare, for I propose to extend freedom. My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them.

Barry Goldwater

http://www.usdebtclock.org

My Avatar is my adult autistic son Tommy

Offline Just_Victor

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2016, 02:12:04 pm »
Remember the good old days when the polls were fake with Romney and Obama? Limbaugh even reassured us a Romney landslide, despite the polls, was in the making :silly:

But I'm sure this time is different, right?

In defense of Limbaugh, he said, "ignore the polls and vote."  He didn't exactly say they were wrong.

But polls are just an attempt to make a statistical representation of reality.  Sometimes they are flat out wrong.  Sometime they are biased.  Sometimes they are correct.  But pretending that the reality displayed by the polls collectively doesn't exist, is harmful to the campaign and it's ability to make intelligent decisions.
If all I want is a warm feeling, I should just wet my pants.

Offline LMAO

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2016, 02:21:13 pm »


But polls are just an attempt to make a statistical representation of reality.  Sometimes they are flat out wrong.  Sometime they are biased.  Sometimes they are correct.  But pretending that the reality displayed by the polls collectively doesn't exist, is harmful to the campaign and it's ability to make intelligent decisions.

Agree
I have little interest in streamlining government or in making it more efficient, for I mean to reduce its size. I do not undertake to promote welfare, for I propose to extend freedom. My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them.

Barry Goldwater

http://www.usdebtclock.org

My Avatar is my adult autistic son Tommy

Offline ScottinVA

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Re: Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2016, 02:39:24 pm »
I guess we'll never know about Trump's bounce, since no polling has occurred to measure post-RNC support.  Of course, the alphabet "media" will be polling their asses off the nanosecond Hillary completes her acceptance speech.
« Last Edit: July 23, 2016, 02:41:39 pm by ScottinVA »