http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/why-trump-and-clinton-might-not-get-a-convention-bounce-225828 Why Trump and Clinton might not get a convention bounce
Divisions, controversy, and highly negative feelings toward the two candidates could erase the traditional post-convention bump in the polls.
By Steven Shepard
07/23/16 07:40 AM EDT
CLEVELAND — Donald Trump's convention is over. But don't count on a convention bounce.
The sizable polling bump that typically follows four days of saturation media coverage probably isn't coming.
Hillary Clinton is also unlikely to receive much of a bounce after Democrats' gather next week in Philadelphia. The reason? Trump and Clinton are two of the most unpopular presidential nominees in recent electoral history, and voters' mostly negative feelings about both of them are well-formed. That lends a level of stability to the race and means neither candidate is likely to bound out of the next two weeks with additional momentum, according to pollsters.
Then there's the issue of party unity. Many top Republican officials still haven’t rallied to Trump’s side, and one, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, snubbed the nominee in his nationally televised speech Wednesday night. Combine that with a series of other unforced errors, like Melania Trump's plagarized speech on Monday night.
All that division and controversy could undermine the chances of a Trump bump.
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