From the
National Review:
Don’t think of the 2016 presidential election as a popularity contest. Think of it as a race to see which candidate the American electorate detests slightly less.
These days, there’s a lot of excitement in Trumpland. Since March, the billionaire has picked up eleven points in the Washington Post/ABC News national poll, nudging him slightly ahead of Hillary Clinton at 46 percent to 44 percent. We find a similar statistical tie in the most recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, with Clinton leading by three points, 46 percent to 43 percent. Most polls show a predictable partisan split.
Trump is “surging,” they say.
Now, I’m not sure why we keep treating national polls with such deference. For one thing, it’s way too early. Candidate Barack Obama, for instance, led Senator John McCain by a couple of points in the same NBC/WSJ poll in April 2008. For another, as liberal columnist Juan Williams points out, it’s far more informative to take a state-by-state look at polls, where we see just how difficult it will most likely be for the presumptive Republican nominee to win the Electoral College.
(remainder snipped)
One cannot blame a scorpion for being a scorpion.
I blame the Trump phenomenon on the GOP establishment, particularly those in Congressional leadership, because of their utter failure to act according to their mandate.
In the meantime, this election season will prove to be entertaining.
