Sandy Fitzgerald
Newsmax
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The "real contenders" boil down to five candidates: former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, said Sabato.
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There have been several other outsider candidates over the years who have initially gotten high ratings in early state polls, including former Rep. Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich in 2012, but "there was no way that any of the trio was going to end up as the Republican nominee for president," and the same holds true for Trump.
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Meanwhile, among Sabato's "real contenders," each has the potential to rally the support they'll need to become the eventual nominee. Cruz and Kasich joined the "real" list just recently, while Bush, Walker, and Rubio have topped that list all along.
"An unlikely Cruz nomination would represent a triumph of the most conservative elements of the party, while an unlikely Kasich nomination would mean a win for the party’s least conservative voters," Sabato said. Kasich's path is more typical than Cruz's, but the party has moved more to the right, he added.
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More here:
http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/larry-sabato-donald-trump-real-candidates/2015/08/13/id/669925/