The Briefing Room

General Category => Midterm Elections 2022 => Topic started by: mystery-ak on November 29, 2022, 12:37:17 am

Title: How close were House races? A few thousands votes could have swung control
Post by: mystery-ak on November 29, 2022, 12:37:17 am
How close were House races? A few thousands votes could have swung control
by Julia Mueller - 11/28/22 5:32 PM ET


Republicans retook the House majority in the midterms, but just a few thousands votes in five races could have swung the outcome in favor of Democrats.

In the days after the election, Democrats still had an outside chance to eke out a House win — but Republicans last week narrowly crossed the 218-vote threshold to take House control.

The GOP appears on track to win 222 seats in the 435-seat chamber, meaning Democrats came just five seats short of the majority.

TargetSmart’s Tom Bonier calculated Sunday that Democrats could have held the House if just 3,340 Republican voters instead cast their ballots for Democrats in the five closest House races won by Republicans.

Republicans won in those districts by just over 7,000 votes combined, according to the latest tallies — meaning that Democrats could also have won by mobilizing a few thousand more voters in those elections.

more
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3753349-how-close-were-house-races-a-few-thousands-votes-could-have-swung-control/
Title: Re: How close were House races? A few thousands votes could have swung control
Post by: Smokin Joe on November 29, 2022, 02:21:35 am
Or printing a few thousand more ballots...

Or double counting a few thousand...

I don't know about anyone else here, but where I live the vote is NOT that evenly split.

Granted, my circle of acquaintances is relatively small, but those I talk with aren't evenly split, either.

My results may not be representative of the rest of the country, but from the first polls we are told that the ratio of sane to insane people is set close, but from the people I speak with, that's just wrong. It is nowhere close.
Title: Re: How close were House races? A few thousands votes could have swung control
Post by: libertybele on November 29, 2022, 02:31:11 am
Or printing a few thousand more ballots...

Or double counting a few thousand...

I don't know about anyone else here, but where I live the vote is NOT that evenly split.

Granted, my circle of acquaintances is relatively small, but those I talk with aren't evenly split, either.

My results may not be representative of the rest of the country, but from the first polls we are told that the ratio of sane to insane people is set close, but from the people I speak with, that's just wrong. It is nowhere close.

Same here. The area that I live in is heavily Republican and very troubled with how the mid terms went down in other parts of the country.
Title: Re: How close were House races? A few thousands votes could have swung control
Post by: roamer_1 on November 29, 2022, 02:35:42 am
Granted, my circle of acquaintances is relatively small, but those I talk with aren't evenly split, either.

My results may not be representative of the rest of the country, but from the first polls we are told that the ratio of sane to insane people is set close, but from the people I speak with, that's just wrong. It is nowhere close.

City vs Rural. I can count the democrats I know on one hand. But cities are the other way around, and hold the cards in population.

This ain't no different than what Chicago did to Illinois long years ago. Rural states are beginning to be overpowered by their cities.

And that will continue to be a problem.