The Briefing Room
General Category => Politics/Government => Topic started by: Right_in_Virginia on August 10, 2019, 06:21:06 pm
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Surging in Polls, Elizabeth Warren Now Has a Path to the Nomination
NY Magazine, Aug 9, 2019
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But the development that currently demands attention is the emergence of Senator Elizabeth Warren as something other than the candidate of policy wonks, dismissed as nonviable even among people who think she’d make an outstanding president. Her strong debate performances, a knack for organizing (based on her outstanding retail political skills), and the misfortunes affecting some of her rivals have combined to give her the clear path to the Democratic nomination that she really did not have in the early going.
Recent polls have clearly indicated that Warren is going places. The RealClearPolitics national polling averages show her as basically tied with Bernie Sanders for second place with Joe Biden’s lead narrowing. The two most recent national polls (from Quinnipiac and Economist–You Gov) place her seven and five points, respectively, ahead of Sanders. Just as important, she’s gaining strength in the early states. A new Monmouth poll from Iowa places her ten points ahead of Bernie, and just nine points behind Biden, in a state where everyone concedes she has the best organization. In New Hampshire polls, where Biden’s early lead was less formidable, she’s nipping at Sanders’s heels. Warren is in a similar position in Nevada (which holds its caucuses 11 days after the New Hampshire primary), where Politico reported yesterday that she has already built a “monster†of an organization.
Put all that together with the inability of any candidates outside the Big Four of Biden, Warren, Sanders, and Harris to gain any momentum at all, and for the first time you can clearly see a plausible path to the nomination for Warren.
Given her competition with Sanders for a similar pool of voters, Warren can probably afford to practically ignore Biden and Harris and focus on riding her organization to a better performance than Bernie in Iowa on February 3 (he doesn’t have her organization but does have a strong volunteer base), which should give her a bump in New Hampshire (February 11). Beating Sanders there, where Bernie won 61 percent of the vote in 2016, could be a game-changer for Warren, much like fellow Massachusetts candidate John Kerry’s win in the first two states over Sanders’s fellow Vermonter Howard Dean in 2004.
More: http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/08/surging-in-polls-warren-has-clear-path-to-the-nomination.html (http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/08/surging-in-polls-warren-has-clear-path-to-the-nomination.html)
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"Recent polls have clearly indicated that Warren is going places."
Right into America's heart./s
Lieawatha is unappealing phony-as-hell, unlikeable shrew.
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She reminds me of Squeaky Fromme.
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...hmm... let's see. The DEM party has been grooming Warren since Hillary lost, so I don't think her ratings are that surprising. Meanwhile Uncle Joe is an old white male DEM and can't seem to get his thoughts straight and Kamel Toe is down in her ratings.
I can only imagine what Hillary will be like if Warren becomes the first female president; the title Hillary worked all her life for.
The only thing Warren would need for the win is a VP of color. I think a Waren/Castro ticket would beat Trump. Especially if he caves on the 2A.
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She would make a horrible president, but as of now, she's got a good shot.
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The only thing Warren would need for the win is a VP of color. I think a Waren/Castro ticket would beat Trump. Especially if he caves on the 2A.
Castro as VP...what's not to like?
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...hmm... let's see. The DEM party has been grooming Warren since Hillary lost, so I don't think her ratings are that surprising. Meanwhile Uncle Joe is an old white male DEM and can't seem to get his thoughts straight and Kamel Toe is down in her ratings.
I can only imagine what Hillary will be like if Warren becomes the first female president; the title Hillary worked all her life for.
The only thing Warren would need for the win is a VP of color. I think a Waren/Castro ticket would beat Trump. Especially if he caves on the 2A.
Yeah, Warren wouldn't be as foolish as Clinton.
Tim Kaine--LOL.
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So warren is on the warpath to the nomination. If her campaign starts the shawnee/sioux war chant we’ll know it’s on.
Now ‘scuse I’m gonna get me... a beer.
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I've been saying she would win the nomination since before she even announced. She is their best shot.
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Castro as VP...what's not to like?
Certainly not hoping for a Warren/Castro ticket, only that I think that they could beat Trump. Warren has appeal to the females, liberals, LGBT, and millennial. Castro of course would bring in the much needed Hispanic vote.