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General Category => Science, Technology and Knowledge => Space => Topic started by: kevindavis007 on February 22, 2017, 01:40:33 am

Title: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: kevindavis007 on February 22, 2017, 01:40:33 am
This is will be the live thread for the NASA news conference.


It can be viewed at http://www.nasa.gov/nasatv (http://www.nasa.gov/nasatv)




If you have twitter you can use the #askNASA is ask NASA a question.


I also think it can be viewed on Youtube:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UdmHHpAsMVw (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UdmHHpAsMVw)


Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: kevindavis007 on February 22, 2017, 01:42:01 am

Space Ping!


@Oceander
@Sanguine
@Cripplecreek
@Freya
@EC
@Joe Wooten
@r9etb
@Just_Victor
@montanajoe
@Ghost Bear
@Free Vulcan
@Idaho_Cowboy
@geronl
@Scutter   
@Elderberry
@InHeavenThereIsNoBeer
@RikkiTikkiTavi
@bigheadfred
@Victoria33
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: EC on February 22, 2017, 01:42:16 am
 :laugh:

I'm going to try to be here.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: 240B on February 22, 2017, 01:48:40 am
I have very low expectations for NASA announcements. Been burned too many times. These announcements are usually all hat and no cattle. They are mostly intended as PR to attract attention and raise the profile of the agency. IMO
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Cripplecreek on February 22, 2017, 01:49:58 am
I've got a dentist appointment at noon but I'll check out the thread when I get home.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Victoria33 on February 22, 2017, 01:51:50 am
ping to find it tomorrow
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: kevindavis007 on February 22, 2017, 01:58:22 am
I figure I start now since I'll be at work. It will be very interesting in what they say..


It could be nothing or it could be yuge..


Who knows, but just think in 20 years we have advanced greatly in finding planets outside our solar system. Just wait until the James Webb Space Telescope goes up.


Now we need to find a system that who mess of planets that is earth mass or close to it so we can terra form a whole system. Unless it is Earth like.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Ghost Bear on February 22, 2017, 02:02:50 am
I have very low expectations for NASA announcements. Been burned too many times. These announcements are usually all hat and no cattle. They are mostly intended as PR to attract attention and raise the profile of the agency. IMO

I agree with you!  Nevertheless, this post will act as my bookmark to find the thread tomorrow. ^-^
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on February 22, 2017, 02:09:38 am
They found a planet millions of miles from here that maybe can support life.  :shrug:


Something like that.


If they have a join presser with little green men, that would be cool.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: kevindavis007 on February 22, 2017, 02:14:24 am
They found a planet millions of miles from here that maybe can support life.  :shrug:


Something like that.


If they have a join presser with little green men, that would be cool.


Still worth going. Of course by the time the ship gets there, my Great Great Great Great Great Great Grandkid will see planet.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: EC on February 22, 2017, 02:15:12 am
It's not going to be the two biggies - alien life, or an extinction event coming at us. The President would hog those.

Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: kevindavis007 on February 22, 2017, 02:18:06 am
It's not going to be the two biggies - alien life, or an extinction event coming at us. The President would hog those.


It could be this:


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tlTSXr4PfSg
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: EC on February 22, 2017, 02:20:08 am
"This video does not exist."

Now I'm paranoid.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: kevindavis007 on February 22, 2017, 02:21:21 am
"This video does not exist."

Now I'm paranoid.


Refresh and try it again..
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: EC on February 22, 2017, 02:28:09 am
Works now.  :laugh:
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: geronl on February 22, 2017, 07:21:52 am
It's not going to be the two biggies - alien life, or an extinction event coming at us. The President would hog those.

I would prefer the Wall-E President and "Buy N Large" to Trump. lol.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: EC on February 22, 2017, 07:28:29 am
If we ever get the extinction event warning, I fully expect whoever is president to resign in favor of Morgan Freeman immediately before the announcement.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: kevindavis007 on February 22, 2017, 12:52:43 pm
If we ever get the extinction event warning, I fully expect whoever is president to resign in favor of Morgan Freeman immediately before the announcement.


Ditto.....
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on February 22, 2017, 12:58:41 pm
If we ever get the extinction event warning, I fully expect whoever is president to resign in favor of Morgan Freeman immediately before the announcement.


(https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/3784524440/3377b0b85643a69995b1718e66915731.jpeg)
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: kevindavis007 on February 22, 2017, 06:12:38 pm
Sounds like a great find....
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 22, 2017, 06:13:58 pm
Sounds like a great find....

What does??
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: EC on February 22, 2017, 06:18:25 pm
Sounds like a great find....

Certainly promising on the odds alone. Going to make a few waves in the the planetary formation models though - thats a high number of smallish planets by any modelling.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 22, 2017, 06:31:41 pm
Seven Planets around TRAPPIST-1 (http://www.centauri-dreams.org/?p=37199)
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 22, 2017, 06:34:34 pm
Still, 40 light years is nothing to sneeze at. 
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Cripplecreek on February 22, 2017, 06:44:38 pm
Seven Planets around TRAPPIST-1 (http://www.centauri-dreams.org/?p=37199)

7 earth sized planets ups the interesting factor based on the ability to spot them from 40 light years out alone. It means we're getting better at finding them.

The 7 Earth-Sized Planets of TRAPPIST-1 in Pictures

http://www.space.com/35784-trappist-1-earth-size-exoplanets-pictures-gallery.html

Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on February 22, 2017, 07:00:15 pm
Meh, disappointing. Was hoping for aliens.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Gefn on February 22, 2017, 07:33:37 pm
Love this photo

[attachment deleted by admin]
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: 240B on February 22, 2017, 07:50:25 pm
40 light years is relatively close. But it it was just another over-hyped more or less blase' announcement, as I expected.


might have liquid water
could possibly support life


Wake me up when you have something real, in hand, that you want to talk about. This could have been just a routine press release instead of the big 'announcement' that they turned it into.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 22, 2017, 07:54:48 pm
40 light years is relatively close. But it it was just another over-hyped more or less blase' announcement, as I expected.


might have liquid water
could possibly support life


Wake me up when you have something real, in hand, that you want to talk about. This could have been just a routine press release instead of the big 'announcement' that they turned it into.

Relatively close being a relative term. 
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on February 22, 2017, 07:56:12 pm
If were were to communicate with "Trappists", it would take a minimum of 80 years to know if they heard us.


Depressing.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 22, 2017, 08:01:23 pm
If were were to communicate with "Trappists", it would take a minimum of 80 years to know if they heard us.


Depressing.

Yeah, but then again, they usually don't say anything anyways because even though they haven't taken an explicit vow of silence, their vow of conversion of manners usually dictates silence: http://www.trappists.org/visitor-questions/do-trappist-monks-and-nuns-take-vow-silence
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: don-o on February 22, 2017, 08:13:27 pm
Yeah, but then again, they usually don't say anything anyways because even though they haven't taken an explicit vow of silence, their vow of conversion of manners usually dictates silence: http://www.trappists.org/visitor-questions/do-trappist-monks-and-nuns-take-vow-silence

Monk's vow of silence allows him to speak every ten years, After his first ten years has passed, he says to the abbot, "Food bad."

He carried out his monk vocation for another ten years and then said, "Bed hard."

After ten more years, "I quit."

The abbot replied, "Well I can't say I am surprised. You have done nothing but complain since you got here."
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Joe Wooten on February 22, 2017, 08:15:56 pm
OK. I don't think any of those would be habitable. Orbiting that close to even a red dwarf would probably mean the rotation is tidally locked with one side always facing the star. Also, red dwarfs are known to be flare stars, so after a few million years, the atmospheres would be stripped from the planets by the intense UV and solar winds especially on the inner 6. I refuse to get excited about small rocky worlds orbiting red dwarf stars.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 22, 2017, 08:18:36 pm
Monk's vow of silence allows him to speak every ten years, After his first ten years has passed, he says to the abbot, "Food bad."

He carried out his monk vocation for another ten years and then said, "Bed hard."

After ten more years, "I quit."

The abbot replied, "Well I can't say I am surprised. You have done nothing but complain since you got here."

:bigsilly:
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on February 22, 2017, 08:20:03 pm
Guy on Twitter asked if it was in a different galaxy.


I don't think they understand science.


Milkyway is 100,000 light years across. This is only 40 light years away. For it to be in a different galaxy the galaxies would have to be colliding.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 22, 2017, 08:20:21 pm
The important information is that the star is high in X-ray and XUV output, which makes it much less likely that planets in the "habitable zone" would in fact be anywhere near habitable.  From a paper by Peter Wheatley:

Quote
The TRAPPIST-1 system presents a fabulous opportunity to study the atmospheres of Earth-sized planets as well as the complex and uncertain mechanisms controlling planet habitability. Whatever the mechanisms at play, it is clear that these planets are subject to X-ray and EUV irradiation that is many-times higher than experienced by the present-day Earth and that is sufficient to significantly alter their primary and any secondary atmospheres. The high energy fluxes presented here are vital inputs to atmospheric studies of the TRAPPIST-1 planets.

And some further thoughts from Paul Gilster:

Quote
Drawing on existing climate models, the innermost planets b, c and d are probably too hot to allow liquid water to exist, while h may be too distant and cold. But the European Southern Observatory is reporting that TRAPPIST-1e, f and g orbit within the star’s habitable zone, leaving us with the possibility of oceans and the potential for life.

Caution compels me to home in on the word ‘potential’ in the above sentence, and also to remind readers that we’ve seen many planets described as being in the habitable zone for which later study made a much less compelling case.
...
My own reservation about habitability: The age of TRAPPIST-1, thought to be in the range of 500 million years, points to a young dwarf of the kind given to flare activity.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: geronl on February 22, 2017, 08:26:14 pm
7 earth sized planets ups the interesting factor based on the ability to spot them from 40 light years out alone. It means we're getting better at finding them.

The 7 Earth-Sized Planets of TRAPPIST-1 in Pictures

http://www.space.com/35784-trappist-1-earth-size-exoplanets-pictures-gallery.html

Nice. We need to find ways of getting more details from these worlds, though
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 22, 2017, 08:29:40 pm
Nice. We need to find ways of getting more details from these worlds, though

The FOCAL Mission: To the Sun’s Gravity Lens (http://www.centauri-dreams.org/?p=785)
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 22, 2017, 09:53:52 pm
The FOCAL Mission: To the Sun’s Gravity Lens (http://www.centauri-dreams.org/?p=785)

Just for reference, and not to be Debbie downer, but the minimum distance for a FOCAL telescope is 550AU.  For comparison, Voyager is currently about 125AU out.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: jmyrlefuller on February 22, 2017, 09:56:44 pm
The important information is that the star is high in X-ray and XUV output, which makes it much less likely that planets in the "habitable zone" would in fact be anywhere near habitable.  From a paper by Peter Wheatley:

And some further thoughts from Paul Gilster:
With a proper ozone layer, that issue could be easily negated.

The bigger issue here is the tidal lock. I'd suspect if any of those seven planets have life, it may actually be the ones OUTSIDE the "habitable zone."
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: jmyrlefuller on February 22, 2017, 09:59:43 pm
If were were to communicate with "Trappists", it would take a minimum of 80 years to know if they heard us.


Depressing.
It took hundreds of millions of years of evolution to create a species that could intelligently communicate with itself here on Earth. We can't even communicate reliably with other species on our own planet.

People waiting for some sort of extraterrestrial communication with aliens are, quite frankly, wasting their time.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: jmyrlefuller on February 22, 2017, 10:06:14 pm
OK. I don't think any of those would be habitable. Orbiting that close to even a red dwarf would probably mean the rotation is tidally locked with one side always facing the star. Also, red dwarfs are known to be flare stars, so after a few million years, the atmospheres would be stripped from the planets by the intense UV and solar winds especially on the inner 6. I refuse to get excited about small rocky worlds orbiting red dwarf stars.
I disagree. Potentially habitable stars around red dwarves are PRECISELY the kind of planets we need to be looking for.

Our sun is a mid-sequence star. Its lifespan is about ten billion years, and it's about halfway through that right now. Within a couple billion years, possibly even less less, it will have increased in heat so much that Earth will no longer be habitable.

A red dwarf, on the other hand, has a lifespan two to three orders of magnitude longer, measured in the trillions of years. If our goal is sustaining life after Earth's destruction, those are the planets that provide the best chance of a stable home to terraform and colonize. The fact that these planets, as well as even closer Proxima Centauri b discovered last year, are within a distance that life could be sustained and transported to them before the specimens die (at least in theory) is cause for a major sigh of relief.

If we're looking for existing life, perhaps not so much, but that is a much bigger crap shoot.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on February 22, 2017, 10:20:41 pm
I disagree. Potentially habitable stars around red dwarves are PRECISELY the kind of planets we need to be looking for.

Our sun is a mid-sequence star. Its lifespan is about ten billion years, and it's about halfway through that right now. Within a couple billion years, possibly even less less, it will have increased in heat so much that Earth will no longer be habitable.

A red dwarf, on the other hand, has a lifespan two to three orders of magnitude longer, measured in the trillions of years. If our goal is sustaining life after Earth's destruction, those are the planets that provide the best chance of a stable home to terraform and colonize. The fact that these planets, as well as even closer Proxima Centauri b discovered last year, are within a distance that life could be sustained and transported to them before the specimens die (at least in theory) is cause for a major sigh of relief.

If we're looking for existing life, perhaps not so much, but that is a much bigger crap shoot.


An interesting question is whether life on Mercury and Venus once existed and was wiped out by previous heat?
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 22, 2017, 11:18:36 pm

An interesting question is whether life on Mercury and Venus once existed and was wiped out by previous heat?

Mercury almost certainly not.  Venus probably not, but an open question.   
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Cripplecreek on February 22, 2017, 11:43:52 pm
I disagree. Potentially habitable stars around red dwarves are PRECISELY the kind of planets we need to be looking for.

Our sun is a mid-sequence star. Its lifespan is about ten billion years, and it's about halfway through that right now. Within a couple billion years, possibly even less less, it will have increased in heat so much that Earth will no longer be habitable.

A red dwarf, on the other hand, has a lifespan two to three orders of magnitude longer, measured in the trillions of years. If our goal is sustaining life after Earth's destruction, those are the planets that provide the best chance of a stable home to terraform and colonize. The fact that these planets, as well as even closer Proxima Centauri b discovered last year, are within a distance that life could be sustained and transported to them before the specimens die (at least in theory) is cause for a major sigh of relief.

If we're looking for existing life, perhaps not so much, but that is a much bigger crap shoot.

The red dwarf stars are a mixed bag. Very active but very long lasting and there are just as many theories of how life could exist around them as there are theories about why life can't. I think that any life we did find there would be quite different that we're used to but then again I could be wrong.

I find this to be exciting simply for the fact that it widens our perspective of the possibilities that exist.

For me I still believe our best bet for something truly earthlike will be found around stars like our sun where its still very hard to detect earth mass planets.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Joe Wooten on February 23, 2017, 01:15:12 am
I disagree. Potentially habitable stars around red dwarves are PRECISELY the kind of planets we need to be looking for.

Our sun is a mid-sequence star. Its lifespan is about ten billion years, and it's about halfway through that right now. Within a couple billion years, possibly even less less, it will have increased in heat so much that Earth will no longer be habitable.

A red dwarf, on the other hand, has a lifespan two to three orders of magnitude longer, measured in the trillions of years. If our goal is sustaining life after Earth's destruction, those are the planets that provide the best chance of a stable home to terraform and colonize. The fact that these planets, as well as even closer Proxima Centauri b discovered last year, are within a distance that life could be sustained and transported to them before the specimens die (at least in theory) is cause for a major sigh of relief.

If we're looking for existing life, perhaps not so much, but that is a much bigger crap shoot.

Another couple of billion years is plenty of time to find and expand to planets circling F, G, and K type stars that would be much more congenial to life. I really do not think we will find habitable or even terraformable worlds around red dwarfs. Anything within the goldilocks zone will more than likely be tidally locked, and therefore will not have much of a magnetic field to hold in the atmosphere. The only exception would be a wide orbiting moon of a superjovian planet. Orbiting far enough out to not be tidally locked and outside the van allen belts, but able to get a some of the heat given off by the bigger lanet.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 23, 2017, 11:14:57 am
Just for reference, and not to be Debbie downer, but the minimum distance for a FOCAL telescope is 550AU.  For comparison, Voyager is currently about 125AU out.

No one said it would be easy...
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 23, 2017, 11:16:16 am
With a proper ozone layer, that issue could be easily negated.

The bigger issue here is the tidal lock. I'd suspect if any of those seven planets have life, it may actually be the ones OUTSIDE the "habitable zone."

For XUV, maybe.  For X-rays, ozone isn't a shield at all.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 23, 2017, 11:21:38 am
Something everyone's overlooking:

Quote
The age of TRAPPIST-1, thought to be in the range of 500 million years, points to a young dwarf of the kind given to flare activity.

Not only high possibility of a lot of flare activity, but an extremely young star.  In our system, only a half-billion years after the initial coalescence, our planet was nothing remotely like it is now and there's no evidence at all that it harbored life or even could at that point.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Gefn on February 23, 2017, 01:22:02 pm
check out the google doodle on this event. very nice.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 23, 2017, 02:33:39 pm
No one said it would be easy...

True, but ....

It's taken Voyager 40 years or so to get where it is now.  At that rate, getting to 550AU will take about 160 years.  So, a much more robust boost system will be needed. 

At 125AU Voyagers signals are very faint.  Since the signal drops off with the square of the distance, signals from 550AU will be incredibly faint unless a really robust transceiver is used. 

It will be sitting in interstellar space, and bearing most of the full force of cosmic rays so all of its systems will have to be very robust and most likely will have to have a high degree of redundancy. 

All of which means the craft will need a very robust, much larger power source, perhaps a real reactor instead of living off the drizzles of energy from the natural breakdown of plutonium. 

All of which means we're looking at a craft that would be significantly bigger than anything else we've ever launched outside of Earth orbit. 
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on February 23, 2017, 03:01:34 pm
True, but ....

It's taken Voyager 40 years or so to get where it is now.  At that rate, getting to 550AU will take about 160 years.  So, a much more robust boost system will be needed. 

At 125AU Voyagers signals are very faint.  Since the signal drops off with the square of the distance, signals from 550AU will be incredibly faint unless a really robust transceiver is used. 

It will be sitting in interstellar space, and bearing most of the full force of cosmic rays so all of its systems will have to be very robust and most likely will have to have a high degree of redundancy. 

All of which means the craft will need a very robust, much larger power source, perhaps a real reactor instead of living off the drizzles of energy from the natural breakdown of plutonium. 

All of which means we're looking at a craft that would be significantly bigger than anything else we've ever launched outside of Earth orbit.


 :thumbsup:


Cool stuff, wonder if it's worth it?
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Cripplecreek on February 23, 2017, 03:04:42 pm
All of which means we're looking at a craft that would be significantly bigger than anything else we've ever launched outside of Earth orbit.

That's one of the fundamental things about space travel. When it comes to men in space, bigger really is better and bigger means MUCH bigger. For manned spaceflight within our own solar system to become truly routine will require ships the size of aircraft carriers with crews of at least several dozen.

Interstellar ships would dwarf the aircraft carrier sized ships and be measured in miles rather than feet or meters. (On the Expanse series the Nauvoo is 2.5 x .5 miles) Personally I would just use the asteroids as spacecraft.

Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 23, 2017, 03:17:06 pm

All of which means the craft will need a very robust, much larger power source, perhaps a real reactor instead of living off the drizzles of energy from the natural breakdown of plutonium. 

All of which means we're looking at a craft that would be significantly bigger than anything else we've ever launched outside of Earth orbit.

Yup.  Think of it as a shake-down mission for interstellar vessels.  Along with the extra-solar planetary images, we'd get experience in conducting operations in an interstellar (or nearly so) environment.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 23, 2017, 05:33:26 pm
Yup.  Think of it as a shake-down mission for interstellar vessels.  Along with the extra-solar planetary images, we'd get experience in conducting operations in an interstellar (or nearly so) environment.

Which leaves the matter of the budget.  I'd guestimate a budget on the order of $100 billion, and I just don't see that coming from the federal government.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 23, 2017, 05:40:38 pm
Which leaves the matter of the budget.  I'd guestimate a budget on the order of $100 billion, and I just don't see that coming from the federal government.

http://www.tsgc.utexas.edu/archive/design/foci/ (http://www.tsgc.utexas.edu/archive/design/foci/)

I have to warn you though, the background image for the above site can be eye-melting...
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 23, 2017, 05:57:01 pm
http://www.tsgc.utexas.edu/archive/design/foci/ (http://www.tsgc.utexas.edu/archive/design/foci/)

I have to warn you though, the background image for the above site can be eye-melting...


Yes, they are.  But I didn't see a discussion of budgetary requirements. 
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 23, 2017, 05:57:30 pm
Further Thoughts on TRAPPIST-1 (http://www.centauri-dreams.org/?p=37204)
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 23, 2017, 05:59:14 pm
Yes, they are.  But I didn't see a discussion of budgetary requirements.

Well, the mission design was from 1997, so any figures they might have posited would be meaningless now anyway.
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Oceander on February 23, 2017, 06:00:48 pm
Well, the mission design was from 1997, so any figures they might have posited would be meaningless now anyway.

Possibly.  At the least, indexing for inflation would have given an order of magnitude estimate. 
Title: Re: NASA News Conference Live Thread Wednesday 02/22/2017 1:00 PM EST / 12:00 PM CST
Post by: Doug Loss on February 23, 2017, 07:05:48 pm
Possibly.  At the least, indexing for inflation would have given an order of magnitude estimate.

It might be possible to fake up an estimate ourselves.  They were talking about 4 Energiya launches.  We could figure the cost of an equivalent throw weight, maybe using Falcon 9 Heavies.  Figuring the cost of the vehicle from costs of similar vehicles, scaled up for size.  Stuff like that.