The Briefing Room

General Category => Politics/Government => Topic started by: Free Vulcan on November 02, 2016, 03:57:27 pm

Title: Pennsylvania Poll Showing Clinton Ahead by Double Digits Heavily Sampled More Dems
Post by: Free Vulcan on November 02, 2016, 03:57:27 pm
A loudly touted Franklin and Marshall College poll of likely Pennsylvania voters showing Democrat Hillary Clinton 11 points ahead of Republican Donald Trump polled Democrats by eight percentage points more than Republicans.

According to the survey October survey that was released on Tuesday, Clinton leads Trump 49 percent to 38 percent among likely voters.

Of the 863 registered voters, 48 percent were Democrats, 38 percent were Republicans, and only 14 percent were independents...

Read more at: http://dailycaller.com/2016/11/02/pennsylvania-poll-showing-clinton-ahead-by-double-digits-heavily-sampled-more-dems/
Title: Re: Pennsylvania Poll Showing Clinton Ahead by Double Digits Heavily Sampled More Dems
Post by: andy58-in-nh on November 02, 2016, 04:16:16 pm
Quote from: Free Vulcan on November 02, 2016, 03:57:27 pm
A loudly touted Franklin and Marshall College poll of likely Pennsylvania voters showing Democrat Hillary Clinton 11 points ahead of Republican Donald Trump polled Democrats by eight percentage points more than Republicans.

According to the survey October survey that was released on Tuesday, Clinton leads Trump 49 percent to 38 percent among likely voters.

Of the 863 registered voters, 48 percent were Democrats, 38 percent were Republicans, and only 14 percent were independents...

Read more at: http://dailycaller.com/2016/11/02/pennsylvania-poll-showing-clinton-ahead-by-double-digits-heavily-sampled-more-dems/ (http://dailycaller.com/2016/11/02/pennsylvania-poll-showing-clinton-ahead-by-double-digits-heavily-sampled-more-dems/)

That might be true if 2016 turnout was like 2008, where Philadelphia turnout was unprecedentedly high. That is unlikely to hold true this year.
Title: Re: Pennsylvania Poll Showing Clinton Ahead by Double Digits Heavily Sampled More Dems
Post by: Frank Cannon on November 02, 2016, 04:18:03 pm
PA is a Leftist state. I would agree with these findings.
Title: Re: Pennsylvania Poll Showing Clinton Ahead by Double Digits Heavily Sampled More Dems
Post by: andy58-in-nh on November 02, 2016, 04:29:01 pm
Quote from: Frank Cannon on November 02, 2016, 04:18:03 pm
PA is a Leftist state. I would agree with these findings.

PA is New York on either end, and Alabama in the middle.
Title: Re: Pennsylvania Poll Showing Clinton Ahead by Double Digits Heavily Sampled More Dems
Post by: driftdiver on November 02, 2016, 04:29:55 pm
Quote from: andy58-in-nh on November 02, 2016, 04:16:16 pm
That might be true if 2016 turnout was like 2008, where Philadelphia turnout was unprecedentedly high. That is unlikely to hold true this year.

Unprecedented is right, they had more votes then voters.
Title: Re: Pennsylvania Poll Showing Clinton Ahead by Double Digits Heavily Sampled More Dems
Post by: Frank Cannon on November 02, 2016, 04:31:38 pm
Quote from: andy58-in-nh on November 02, 2016, 04:29:01 pm
PA is New York on either end, and Alabama in the middle.

Yup.
Title: Re: Pennsylvania Poll Showing Clinton Ahead by Double Digits Heavily Sampled More Dems
Post by: HAPPY2BME on November 02, 2016, 04:32:50 pm
The neocon democrats were caught red-handed doing the exact same things the neocon republicans were (and are still doing) ..

New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples"

(http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user230519/imageroot/2016/10/20/2016.10.23%20-%20Oversample%201_0.jpg)

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-23/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples