The Briefing Room
General Category => Politics/Government => Topic started by: Free Vulcan on November 02, 2016, 03:08:39 pm
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NBC Battleground Map: Clinton's lead narrows
In NBC News' updated presidential battleground map, Hillary Clinton has 274 electoral votes in her column -- which is more than the 270 needed to win the presidency, but it's down from where it was last month (at 287). Meanwhile, Donald Trump's electoral-vote total has grown to 180, up from 157 in mid-October. And we have 84 electoral votes in the Tossup column.
The big changes here: We moved Georgia, Iowa, and Maine's 2nd Congressional District from Tossup to Lean GOP; we moved Nevada from Tossup to Lean Dem; and we moved both New Hampshire and North Carolina from Lean Dem back to Tossup. We attribute these changes to the natural tightening of the race, with Republican voters coming back home to Trump. But we will continue to watch any fallout from last Friday's Comey news.
(http://media4.s-nbcnews.com/j/newscms/2016_44/1778456/battleground_b82f237a1ed22ed16132bc8b34a6ef84.nbcnews-ux-600-480.png)
Read more at: http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/clinton-s-battleground-map-lead-narrows-n676781
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Things are narrowing, but Donny ain't winning except in on outlier poll. This is not good.
Reagan was ahead of Carter by now in '80....
(http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/trialheats1980-570x414.png)
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So based on NBC's map, Trump will need to win all the toss up states (FL, NC, OH, NH, UT, and AZ) and win one of the lean DEM states such as NM, CO, NV, WI, MI, MN, VA, or PA.