The Briefing Room

General Category => Economy/Business => Topic started by: mystery-ak on December 21, 2018, 10:30:45 pm

Title: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: mystery-ak on December 21, 2018, 10:30:45 pm
Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
by Joe Williams
 | December 21, 2018 05:08 PM



All three major U.S. equity indexes closed on Friday with losses, capping off one of the worst weeks for markets in a decade as the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates and a looming government shutdown continue to spook investors.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 414 points to 22,445, marking a more than 1,100-point loss for the exchange since Monday in its worst week since the 2008 financial crisis. Similarly, the Nasdaq was down 195 points and the broader S&P 500 decreased 50 points to an 18-month low.

In the past, government shutdowns have not led to significant volatility in the markets. The S&P actually rose during the four previous funding lapses. But investors remain weary after the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates for a fourth time this year and Chairman Jerome Powell warned that the economy could moderate in 2019.

Funding is poised to lapse at midnight as President Trump continues to demand money for a wall on the U.S.-Mexico border. The House on Thursday passed a spending bill that included $5.7 billion in border security funding, but the measure is not expected to pass the Senate and Trump told reporters he was prepared for "very long" government shutdown.

Trump's ongoing trade tiff with China also remains a top concern. The two countries are expected to continue negotiations in January, but the White House previously warned that it is prepared to issue tariffs on an additional $267 billion in Chinese goods if an agreement is not reached.

Over the past few months, companies have sped up imports of products from the country in anticipation that tariffs on the existing $200 billion in products would also rise from 10 percent to 25 percent.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/business/worst-wall-street-week-in-a-decade-as-federal-government-prepares-for-shutdown (https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/business/worst-wall-street-week-in-a-decade-as-federal-government-prepares-for-shutdown)
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Applewood on December 21, 2018, 10:43:07 pm
But we are fools for being concerned, according to Trump supporters.  The economy is doing so well.  MAGA!
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: corbe on December 21, 2018, 10:52:27 pm
   My #MAGA hat never arrived.

(https://media.giphy.com/media/c6DIpCp1922KQ/giphy.gif)

   @LegalAmerican
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Fishrrman on December 21, 2018, 11:44:51 pm
Glad I've been pretty much "all cash" for more than a decade.

How does 18,500 sound for an eventual "bottom number" ...?
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on December 22, 2018, 12:17:51 am
Over the past few months, companies have sped up imports of products from the country in anticipation that tariffs on the existing $200 billion in products would also rise from 10 percent to 25 percent.

We saw something much like this in the dotcom boom/bust.  In preparation for Y2K, many companies accelerated their IT spending in 1998/1999 so that they could have redundant test/backup equipment by "borrowing" from 2000/2001 budgets.  The timing was pretty much perfect to make the boom boomier and the bust bustier.

Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: DB on December 22, 2018, 12:26:13 am
Tariffs and unintended consequences...

Who knew...
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Gefn on December 22, 2018, 12:29:28 am
   My #MAGA hat never arrived.

(https://media.giphy.com/media/c6DIpCp1922KQ/giphy.gif)

   @LegalAmerican

One of my favorite shows @corbe
@Suppressed
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Gefn on December 22, 2018, 12:30:25 am
But we are fools for being concerned, according to Trump supporters.  The economy is doing so well.  MAGA!

I am worried, but I ❤️ Your avatar @Applewood
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Applewood on December 22, 2018, 01:02:19 am
I am worried, but I ❤️ Your avatar @Applewood

Thank you and your avatar is adorable,  too.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on December 22, 2018, 01:30:18 am
If anybody reading this depends upon a single week for its investments, they should not be investing.

Smart investors instead are looking at what has happened during the past ten years.

Hint: it was below 8600.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Gefn on December 22, 2018, 02:32:59 am
If anybody reading this depends upon a single week for its investments, they should not be investing.

Smart investors instead are looking at what has happened during the past ten years.

Hint: it was below 8600.

Ten years ago this week was the anniversary of Bernie Madoff. Hmmm.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: truth_seeker on December 22, 2018, 03:36:01 am
It was WORSE under Reagan. This major downturn followed his brilliant Illegal immigrant Amnesty in 1986.


(https://www.marketvolume.com/images/charts/stockmarketcrash/stock_market_crash_1987_1d.gif)

The lesson: hold. Don't panic.  The market usually bounces back up.

Merry Christmas, Happy New Year,
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Hoodat on December 22, 2018, 04:03:03 am
The DOW has fallen over 3000 points since the Democrats won control of the House.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on December 22, 2018, 02:29:32 pm
The DOW has fallen over 3000 points since the Democrats won control of the House.
(https://memegenerator.net/img/instances/80744630/nothing-to-see-here-move-along.jpg)
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Applewood on December 22, 2018, 07:00:32 pm
The lesson: hold. Don't panic.  The market usually bounces back up.


That's what I was told by everyone, including my financial adviser.  But it's a bit hard to be patient when your nest egg loses $16,000 in 2 weeks.  Yes, I'm sure it's a pittance for some, but it's a lot to me. 

I've heard that there are several factors contributing to this slide -- the rise in interest rates and Trump' temper tantrum for sure -- but also that business isn't as confident in our supposedly improving economy as Trump and the Washington bureaucrats appear to be.  The market will continue to fall as long as the uneasiness continues.  A global recession is on the horizon and so long as there is uneasiness and even outright panic, things will get worse before they get better.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Oceander on December 22, 2018, 09:47:05 pm
The DOW has fallen over 3000 points since the Democrats won control of the House.

It’s also fallen while Trump was in the White House.  So what?  Correlation is not causation.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: jmyrlefuller on December 22, 2018, 10:07:55 pm
The DOW has fallen over 3000 points since the Democrats won control of the House.
It still amazes me to see how little notice people have given to this correlation despite how well it has held up for almost 40 years now.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: corbe on December 22, 2018, 10:12:33 pm
   These help.

(http://cdn2.jomashop.com/media/catalog/product/r/a/ray-ban-wayfarer-folding-orange-flash-lenses-sunglasses--0rb410560196954.jpg)
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: jmyrlefuller on December 22, 2018, 10:18:10 pm
It’s also fallen while Trump was in the White House.  So what?  Correlation is not causation.
The House sets the federal budget.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: DB on December 22, 2018, 10:28:56 pm
The House sets the federal budget.

There hasn't been a budget since Obama was elected. Never mind the constitutional requirement for one. Everything has been a "continuing resolution" since then as far as I know. Nobody has paid a political price for this in your face lawlessness. But lawless is the new normal for our government. It is how empires end.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Frank Cannon on December 22, 2018, 11:37:34 pm
But we are fools for being concerned, according to Trump supporters.  The economy is doing so well.  MAGA!

Weren't you pleading doom, gloom and poverty when the market was at  record highs? You don't make any sense on pretty much anything.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Applewood on December 23, 2018, 12:21:41 am
Weren't you pleading doom, gloom and poverty when the market was at  record highs? You don't make any sense on pretty much anything.

Neither do you.  And unlike you, I don't have to use cuss words to hide a lack of brain matter.

You can listen to me on this subject or not.  I really don't care.  Just don't come whining when your finances start swirling the bowl. 
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Mod5 on December 23, 2018, 12:28:09 am
Beautiful evening, isn't it?
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: MOD8 on December 23, 2018, 12:33:13 am
I always thought you were an optimist #5.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Fishrrman on December 23, 2018, 01:10:35 am
"Mod 5"?
"Mod 8"?

Why does a site as small as this one is, need 8 moderators?  ;)
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: corbe on December 23, 2018, 01:14:49 am
   I've never seen Mod 7 or 3 so I think it is just 6, but I'm certain that we can keep them busy, especially on Friday and Saturday nights when we drink too much TEA.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Mod5 on December 23, 2018, 01:34:05 am
"Mod 5"?
"Mod 8"?

Why does a site as small as this one is, need 8 moderators?  ;)

It's not that small, and while you might think that there were 8 moderators there are really only 6.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: corbe on December 23, 2018, 01:42:19 am
  See, I was correct, for once.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: corbe on December 23, 2018, 01:44:27 am
  Were Mods 3 and 7 once greats that passed on and yall retied their Jerseys or something?  Enquiring minds need to know.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on December 23, 2018, 01:46:04 am
There hasn't been a budget since Obama was elected. Never mind the constitutional requirement for one. Everything has been a "continuing resolution" since then as far as I know. Nobody has paid a political price for this in your face lawlessness. But lawless is the new normal for our government. It is how empires end.
Before that.  Last budget was in 2006.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Hoodat on December 23, 2018, 02:37:21 am
Before that.  Last budget was in 2006.

And it was only $160 billion in the red with deficits on the decrease.






But then the Democrats took control of Congress.  Within two years, that $160 billion deficit would become $1.6 trillion.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: jmyrlefuller on December 23, 2018, 10:57:13 pm
"Mod 5"?
"Mod 8"?

Why does a site as small as this one is, need 8 moderators?  ;)
To keep us all on our toes.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: berdie on December 24, 2018, 12:07:49 am
But we are fools for being concerned, according to Trump supporters.  The economy is doing so well.  MAGA!



Just quti looking at your balance @Applewood .  That's what I had to do.  I retired in Oct.   and poof!
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Applewood on December 24, 2018, 12:19:12 am


Just quti looking at your balance @Applewood .  That's what I had to do.  I retired in Oct.   and poof!

So sorry.  Trump supporters are too blinded by worship of their god that they don't realize they are going to be wiped out too one of these days.   A big recession is coming.  I don't care what Trump supporters are invested in.  Sooner or later, they are going to be feeling the pain with the rest of us.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Hoodat on December 24, 2018, 07:56:23 am
The only value a stock has is what it is the day it is sold.  If your the market says your stock is worth $100 and you don't sell it, then it doesn't give you anything.  So just because the DOW was 'valued' at 25K, it didn't mean squat unless you sold it.

Stocks are for the long term.  Always buy for the long term, and never ever ever ever panic when the market turns.  Because you sure as heck weren't breaking out the champagne when it was seriously overvalued.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on December 24, 2018, 02:16:36 pm
The only value a stock has is what it is the day it is sold.  If your the market says your stock is worth $100 and you don't sell it, then it doesn't give you anything.  So just because the DOW was 'valued' at 25K, it didn't mean squat unless you sold it.

Stocks are for the long term.  Always buy for the long term, and never ever ever ever panic when the market turns.  Because you sure as heck weren't breaking out the champagne when it was seriously overvalued.
That was all well said.  Wish more would read your words.

The other point I would made is that in order to sell, one must find a buyer.  That buyer must believe what he is buying is worth as much or more of the current value.  Otherwise, he would not buy.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: corbe on December 24, 2018, 04:06:30 pm
Markets plunge following Mnuchin outreach to banks

BY NIV ELIS - 12/24/18 10:27 AM EST
   

The Dow Jones industrial average plunged more than 400 points Monday morning, following a weekend attempt by Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin to calm the markets.

Mnuchin said Sunday that he spoke with the heads of six major banks -- Bank of America, Citi, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo -- and reported that they had "ample liquidity."

He also said he would convene a call with the president's working group on financial markets and a group of key regulators.

But the unusual message may have backfired, with analysts noting that the group Mnuchin was calling together was the same as the "Plunge Protection Team" that met at the height of the 2009 financial crisis.

<..snip..>

https://thehill.com/policy/finance/422730-markets-plunge-following-mnuchin-outreach-to-banks (https://thehill.com/policy/finance/422730-markets-plunge-following-mnuchin-outreach-to-banks)
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Applewood on December 24, 2018, 06:11:58 pm
@corbe  (and anyone else)

Ok, I'll bite.  What does "ample liquidity" mean?  Are the banks just going to take the loot and run? 
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Hoodat on December 24, 2018, 06:16:24 pm
@corbe  (and anyone else)

Ok, I'll bite.  What does "ample liquidity" mean?  Are the banks just going to take the loot and run?

It means that as of now, the banks do not need the Fed to crank out for them a fresh $700 billion of newly invented money so that fat cat bankers can stay in business even though they made seriously stupid choices.

As for the rest of us who set money aside to handle these rough spots caused by banker stupidity?  The money we saved decreases in value, and that value gets handed over to the banks.  It's kind of like a tax increase that Congress never voted on.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Victoria33 on December 24, 2018, 06:19:36 pm
@Hoodat
@Applewood

It is now Monday, central time 12:18 pm - stock market has dropped over 600 points.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Gefn on December 24, 2018, 06:24:58 pm
@Hoodat
@Applewood

It is now Monday, central time 12:18 pm - stock market has dropped over 600 points.

This is very bad.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Applewood on December 24, 2018, 06:35:01 pm
Dow dives 600 points to below 22,000, S&P 500 enters bear market - worst Christmas Eve ever

Quote
U.S. stocks plunged on Monday in their worst day of Christmas Eve trading ever, as the S&P 500 entered a bear market.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 653 points Monday in volatile trading, falling below 22,000. The Dow sank more than 2 percent, then recovered nearly all of the day's losses, before again falling more than 2 percent. The S&P 500 fell 2.7 percent, slipping into a bear market as it fell 20.06 percent from recent highs. Wall Street traditionally considers a drop of 20 percent or more from recent highs to be a bear market. The Nasdaq Composite Index slid 2.2 percent.

…

Trump resumed his attack on the Fed on Monday, tweeting that the central bank is "the only problem" with the U.S. economy.
[/b]

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/24/us-stock-futures-fall-slightly-as-the-dow-attempts-to-rebound-from-its-worst-week-in-a-decade.html (https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/24/us-stock-futures-fall-slightly-as-the-dow-attempts-to-rebound-from-its-worst-week-in-a-decade.html)


Uh...no...Trump.  There are plenty of other problems.  Some are of your own doing.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Night Hides Not on December 25, 2018, 10:37:13 pm
"Mod 5"?
"Mod 8"?

Why does a site as small as this one is, need 8 moderators?  ;)

There are more crazy mofo's on this site than we care to admit. For example, San Francisco had Emperor Norton in the 19th century, while we have our very own "Ambassadors" today.

 :rolling:
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Night Hides Not on December 25, 2018, 10:46:32 pm
@corbe  (and anyone else)

Ok, I'll bite.  What does "ample liquidity" mean?  Are the banks just going to take the loot and run?

IMO, it means that they aren't nearly as leveraged as they were ten years ago. The FDIC has a division that oversees these mega financial institutions, and routinely conduct stress tests of them. The FDIC is one of the few federal agencies that are trustworthy, not just because I worked there, but for their history over the past 80 plus years.

As I said on another thread, I think Mnuchin's been receiving calls from Trump to "do something", to give the illusion that they're on top of the situation. So Mnuchin calls the heads of the major banks, to show Trump he's "doing something".


Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Gefn on December 25, 2018, 11:19:26 pm
Anyone ever hear of a “dead cat bounce” on Wall Street? We might get one soon. Possible. Or not.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_cat_bounce

Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: thackney on December 26, 2018, 05:52:56 pm
Glad I've been pretty much "all cash" for more than a decade.

How does 18,500 sound for an eventual "bottom number" ...?

If it fell today to 18,500, it would have more than doubled in the past decade (closed $8,515.55 Dec 26, 2008).  How much has your cash grown in the past decade?
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Wingnut on December 26, 2018, 06:40:30 pm
Stocks rally, Dow adds 400 points.  Today.

Quote
December is, in fact, on pace to be one of the worst months for the S&P 500 in history, Dan Suzuki of Richard Bernstein Advisors wrote in a note Wednesday. As of market close Monday, the S&P 500 was down nearly 15% for the month of December. Of the 10 other instances that markets have posted a weaker month, seven occurred during the Great Depression, three took places after the Nazi invasion of France, one occurred during the 1987 market crash and the last happened during the depths of the financial crisis.

“If you think that the current fundamental backdrop has the makings of a depression, World War III or a major financial crisis, then perhaps the magnitude of the market sell-off is reasonable,”

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-futures-rise-christmas-eve-sell-off-134312777.html
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Hoodat on December 26, 2018, 09:18:21 pm
If it fell today to 18,500, it would have more than doubled in the past decade (closed $8,515.55 Dec 26, 2008).

Yep.  The market has been seriously overvalued for a few years now.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Gefn on December 26, 2018, 09:19:56 pm
It’s up over 1,000 points  :beer:
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: DCPatriot on December 26, 2018, 09:22:43 pm
It’s up over 1,000 points  :beer:

Said all along that the 'correction' last week, was merely year-end profit taking.

Then...the computer algorithm took over.

The media jumped.  They're pulling all the stops to crash this President's administration.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Gefn on December 26, 2018, 09:28:10 pm
Said all along that the 'correction' last week, was merely year-end profit taking.

Then...the computer algorithm took over.

The media jumped.  They're pulling all the stops to crash this President's administration.

Hope it’s a good thing and not a Dead Cat bounce. (Gosh I hate that term)
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: thackney on December 26, 2018, 09:30:23 pm
Yep.  The market has been seriously overvalued for a few years now.

Do you have any knowledge of the history of the stock market?  For more than a century, the average time to double your money in the stock was 7 years.  The 1930s and the 2000s were rough decades for stock investment.

THE HISTORICAL RATE OF RETURN FOR THE STOCK MARKET SINCE 1900
http://www.stockpickssystem.com/historical-rate-of-return/ (http://www.stockpickssystem.com/historical-rate-of-return/)
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: andy58-in-nh on December 26, 2018, 09:34:37 pm
Well, Wall Street just closed out its best day in history.

Pretty much all momentum-chasing algorithms, but we'll take it.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Wingnut on December 26, 2018, 09:37:01 pm
Well, Wall Street just closed out its best day in history.

Pretty much all momentum-chasing algorithms, but we'll take it.

When it falls it is Trumps fault.
When it rocks no mention at all.

Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on December 26, 2018, 10:09:23 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DuyGujuUUAAVw5L.jpg)
STOCKS ROAR BACK
DOW +1,086
BIGGEST GAIN EVER

(https://drudgereport.com/i/logo9.gif)
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Applewood on December 26, 2018, 10:37:16 pm
When it falls it is Trumps fault.
When it rocks no mention at all.

First of all, while this huge gain is most welcome, it may be just temporary.  The trade war, the government shutdown, the interest rates, overspending by congress.  None of these have been fixed.  Until the problems are solved, any gain will be temporary and the market will drop again.

Secondly, the gain hasn't erased the huge losses which we have been seeing of late, particularly on Christmas Eve.  The Dow is still down for the year.  S&P is still within bear market range.

Another thing -- while the analysts are still pondering the reasons behind this huge gain, it appears that today was a buyer's market, particularly with energy and retail stocks.  Retail sales reports so far have been very positive and it is believed the holiday shopping season went very well.  Investors are taking advantage of the low price on these stocks and gobbling them up.  But after that, then what?  No one knows. 

In any event, it's hard to say that Trump is behind today's temporary gain.  He didn't do or say anything to cause the markets to surge higher.  In fact, analysts noted that today was a slow news day and there wasn't any news to cause the markets to go up. 
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on December 27, 2018, 12:23:44 am
Do you have any knowledge of the history of the stock market?  For more than a century, the average time to double your money in the stock was 7 years.  The 1930s and the 2000s were rough decades for stock investment.

THE HISTORICAL RATE OF RETURN FOR THE STOCK MARKET SINCE 1900
http://www.stockpickssystem.com/historical-rate-of-return/ (http://www.stockpickssystem.com/historical-rate-of-return/)

I have two very big problems with articles make statements like that.

First, calculating average yearly gains does not reflect overall gains, it overstates them.  If you invest $100 and the stock goes up 20% one year and down 10% one year, the average is +5%.  But that's not the same as 5% gains per year.  You only have $108, not $110.25.

Next, "the market" changes.  This article is the first I've seen that hints that they may have sort of taken that into account, but I'm not seeing any methodology.  When a stock falls out of favor, a market index can simple replace it with a different one (that is probably going up), potentially without any loss of value of "the" overall market.  An individual doesn't have that luxury.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Fishrrman on December 27, 2018, 01:23:32 am
thackney asked:
"If it fell today to 18,500, it would have more than doubled in the past decade (closed $8,515.55 Dec 26, 2008).  How much has your cash grown in the past decade?"

From January 1, 2009 until [what will be] January 1, 2019, it increased by 3.6x. That number isn't "the total", it's what "the growth" was.

I have no money (not one cent) "in stocks" and haven't had since about 2008.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: truth_seeker on December 27, 2018, 01:43:13 am
I expect seasoned investors are using this correction, for a buying opportunity.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on December 27, 2018, 04:44:49 am
 yymouseby
This is very bad.
why?  Did you notice it went up a 1000 today?

Why is a one day drop something to worry you?
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Gefn on December 27, 2018, 04:31:54 pm
yymousebywhy?  Did you notice it went up a 1000 today?

Why is a one day drop something to worry you?

It was a lot of drop that worried me and today it’s dropping again, as I stated before either on this thread or another I’m afraid yesterday was a Dead Cat Bounce.

Im worried because I have some of my retirement money tied up in the stock market. I’d like to have a secure nest egg.

That comment was made on Christmas Eve before the 1,000 point rally yesterday. Now it’s down again, I know it’s correcting itself. It’s still kinda worrisome to investors, don’t you think?

Anyway, @IsailedawayfromFR best wishes for a great new year
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Applewood on December 27, 2018, 05:24:05 pm
It was a lot of drop that worried me and today it’s dropping again, as I stated before either on this thread or another I’m afraid yesterday was a Dead Cat Bounce.

Im worried because I have some of my retirement money tied up in the stock market. I’d like to have a secure nest egg.

That comment was made on Christmas Eve before the 1,000 point rally yesterday. Now it’s down again, I know it’s correcting itself. It’s still kinda worrisome to investors, don’t you think?

Anyway, @IsailedawayfromFR best wishes for a great new year

We are not supposed to be concerned because  ------- Trump is king and he is making America great again.  Or something. 

Christmas Eve was not one drop on one day.  It was the latest in a series of drops.  The gains for the year were lost.  We had a big gain yesterday, but as you pointed out, all three markets are down today -- the Dow has lot around 370 points as of this morning. 

The gain yesterday was most likely bargain hunters gobbling up energy and retail stocks -- because, as a result of the recent major losses, these stocks were cheap.  And word is that retail is doing particularly well largely because of holiday sales, so they are a good buy.  But the "clearance sale" yesterday is over and it's back to reality.  The same factors that contributed to the recent losses still exist and they are continuing to impact the market in a negative way.

I don't want to hear stats about how high the market is now compared to last year or 2016 or whatever date these bogus comparisons use.  I'm concerned about the here and now.  And the here and now is not doing well. 

It's unfortunate that so many people don't get it.  Maybe they aren't invested in stocks.   But sooner or later this will negatively impact whatever investments they do have.  A major recession is coming and putting one's head in the sand is not going to prevent it.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on December 27, 2018, 11:10:28 pm
It was a lot of drop that worried me and today it’s dropping again, as I stated before either on this thread or another I’m afraid yesterday was a Dead Cat Bounce.

Im worried because I have some of my retirement money tied up in the stock market. I’d like to have a secure nest egg.

That comment was made on Christmas Eve before the 1,000 point rally yesterday. Now it’s down again, I know it’s correcting itself. It’s still kinda worrisome to investors, don’t you think?

Anyway, @IsailedawayfromFR best wishes for a great new year
one day events mean nothing.

Need to look at trends and fundamentals over years not days or weeks or even months.

You will worry yourself sick otherwise.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on December 27, 2018, 11:13:54 pm
We are not supposed to be concerned because  ------- Trump is king and he is making America great again.  Or something. 

Christmas Eve was not one drop on one day.  It was the latest in a series of drops.  The gains for the year were lost.  We had a big gain yesterday, but as you pointed out, all three markets are down today -- the Dow has lot around 370 points as of this morning. 

The gain yesterday was most likely bargain hunters gobbling up energy and retail stocks -- because, as a result of the recent major losses, these stocks were cheap.  And word is that retail is doing particularly well largely because of holiday sales, so they are a good buy.  But the "clearance sale" yesterday is over and it's back to reality.  The same factors that contributed to the recent losses still exist and they are continuing to impact the market in a negative way.

I don't want to hear stats about how high the market is now compared to last year or 2016 or whatever date these bogus comparisons use.  I'm concerned about the here and now.  And the here and now is not doing well. 

It's unfortunate that so many people don't get it.  Maybe they aren't invested in stocks.   But sooner or later this will negatively impact whatever investments they do have.  A major recession is coming and putting one's head in the sand is not going to prevent it.
you seem to be someone who should stay away from investments altogether and stick to something you understand like perhaps savings accounts, if you are that worried about the 'here to now'
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Free Vulcan on December 27, 2018, 11:22:12 pm
Markets get overbought. Then they get oversold. Computer algorithms may exaggerate that a bit, but the net underlying effect is the same.

The Christmas Eve drop was on low volume and extended things into ridiculous territory. Notice the big bounce yesterday and followthru today.

If you look at the chart, while the moves in point numbers seem huge, in chart terms not that major at all. 500 points in '87 isn't the same impact as today.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on February 16, 2019, 01:12:18 pm
It was a lot of drop that worried me and today it’s dropping again, as I stated before either on this thread or another I’m afraid yesterday was a Dead Cat Bounce.

Im worried because I have some of my retirement money tied up in the stock market. I’d like to have a secure nest egg.

That comment was made on Christmas Eve before the 1,000 point rally yesterday. Now it’s down again, I know it’s correcting itself. It’s still kinda worrisome to investors, don’t you think?

Anyway, @IsailedawayfromFR best wishes for a great new year
@Freya   Are you still worried since the Dow is up 3,000 points since this post?

If you are, now is a good time to selloff and sleep well at night.

This is not a market that needs people who cannot withstand the ups and downs.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Gefn on February 16, 2019, 02:04:01 pm
@Freya   Are you still worried since the Dow is up 3,000 points since this post?

If you are, now is a good time to selloff and sleep well at night.

This is not a market that needs people who cannot withstand the ups and downs.

@IsailedawayfromFR I’m not touching my stocks they are my retirement, and I trust they will be ok. I realize that might sound weird but I feel they should be secure by then. Thanks for asking, I hope all is ok with you.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: Hoodat on February 16, 2019, 04:34:02 pm
Correct.  Stocks are a long term investment.
Title: Re: Wall Street closes out worst week in a decade
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on February 16, 2019, 08:39:46 pm
@IsailedawayfromFR I’m not touching my stocks they are my retirement, and I trust they will be ok. I realize that might sound weird but I feel they should be secure by then. Thanks for asking, I hope all is ok with you.
Couple of items here:

In spite of it being in a retirement account, one should nevertheless periodically assess the performance.  It might be that one or more are not keeping up with the others and need some massaging. 

There is no stock which should never be looked at.  For example, look at the venerable stock of General Electric or AT&T if you want to.

At minimum, i'd suggest looking once per year.