1
Elections 2024 / Re: Massive Trump beach rally in deep-blue NJ draws stark contrast to Biden's beach weekend: 'Biden
« Last post by LMAO on Today at 03:19:42 am »These rallies, although large for Trump, can end up being deceptive
There were frequent articles about the "enthusiasm gap" in 2012 for Romney vs Obama. People like Carl Rove, for example, predicted a Romney win based on that. And polls backed up the case that Republican voters were more enthusiastic about voting for Romney than Democrats were for voting for Obama. Obama did end up losing votes from his 2008 totals but won re election
It's hard to beat an incumbent. That incumbent not only has to be extraordinarily bad but the challenger has to convince voters why he/she would be a better replacement. "The incumbent sucks" isn't enough
There were frequent articles about the "enthusiasm gap" in 2012 for Romney vs Obama. People like Carl Rove, for example, predicted a Romney win based on that. And polls backed up the case that Republican voters were more enthusiastic about voting for Romney than Democrats were for voting for Obama. Obama did end up losing votes from his 2008 totals but won re election
It's hard to beat an incumbent. That incumbent not only has to be extraordinarily bad but the challenger has to convince voters why he/she would be a better replacement. "The incumbent sucks" isn't enough