The Briefing Room

General Category => Science, Technology and Knowledge => Topic started by: rangerrebew on August 25, 2013, 01:16:10 pm

Title: Pacific cyclones at there lowest levels in 5,000 years.
Post by: rangerrebew on August 25, 2013, 01:16:10 pm
New paper finds Pacific cyclones are at the lowest levels of the past 5,000 years



A paper published today in Quaternary Science Reviews reconstructs cyclones of the central Pacific and finds cyclone activity of the 21st century is at the lowest levels of the past 5,000 years. The paper also shows typhoons in Japan at the lowest levels of the past 3,500 years and that North Atlantic hurricanes were more frequent/severe than modern times during various intervals over the past 3,000 years. The authors attribute the changes in Pacific cyclones to the El Nino Southern Oscillation [ENSO], which is also shown to be at the lowest levels of the past 5,000 years. In addition, the paper shows sea levels of the central Pacific were ~.5 meters [~1.6 feet] higher than modern times from ~1,700 to ~2,500 years ago. Contrary to the claims of climate alarmists, the paper demonstrates cyclone activity and the frequency of El Ninos are currently at very low levels relative to the past 5,000 years.


http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/08/new-paper-finds-pacific-cyclones-are-at.html
Title: Re: Pacific cyclones at there lowest levels in 5,000 years.
Post by: andy58-in-nh on August 25, 2013, 01:28:04 pm
And in other global warming "news", here is the Atlantic ocean at present, near the "peak" of the 2013 Hurricane season:

(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/two_atl.gif)


There's a wave coming off the west coast of Africa, otherwise: nothing out there currently expected to develop.
Title: Re: Pacific cyclones at there lowest levels in 5,000 years.
Post by: Oceander on August 26, 2013, 01:14:46 pm
And in other global warming "news", here is the Atlantic ocean at present, near the "peak" of the 2013 Hurricane season:

(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/two_atl.gif)


There's a wave coming off the west coast of Africa, otherwise: nothing out there currently expected to develop.


Is there actually a named storm - Fernand - in the Caribbean right now?  That we haven't heard much of Fernand, or the other five that preceded it, speaks to the relatively low activity of this season.
Title: Re: Pacific cyclones at there lowest levels in 5,000 years.
Post by: andy58-in-nh on August 26, 2013, 01:44:25 pm
Is there actually a named storm - Fernand - in the Caribbean right now?  That we haven't heard much of Fernand, or the other five that preceded it, speaks to the relatively low activity of this season.

Fernand is a minor tropical storm currently located over central Mexico. It developed yesterday, and is projected to diminish in strength to a tropical depression and then a post-tropical low during the next 24-36 hours.  It will dump about 4-8 inches of rain over affected areas, however.
Title: Re: Pacific cyclones at there lowest levels in 5,000 years.
Post by: Oceander on August 26, 2013, 01:53:57 pm
Fernand is a minor tropical storm currently located over central Mexico. It developed yesterday, and is projected to diminish in strength to a tropical depression and then a post-tropical low during the next 24-36 hours.  It will dump about 4-8 inches of rain over affected areas, however.

Thanks.  What about the previous 5?
Title: Re: Pacific cyclones at there lowest levels in 5,000 years.
Post by: andy58-in-nh on August 26, 2013, 02:12:00 pm
Thanks.  What about the previous 5?

Andrea (tropical storm) moved up the Eastern seaboard back in June, bringing rain, but little sustained wind.
Barry (tropical storm) drove into Central Mexico and dissipated, much like Fernand is doing now.
Chantal (tropical storm) grazed Haiti and the Eastern tip of Cuba before moving up toward the Bahamas and shearing apart into a tropical depression.
Dorian (tropical storm) moved north of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic before taking a sharp right hook and heading out into the Atlantic.
Erin was a tropical storm briefly before hooking east and north about 600 miles west of Bermuda, about a week ago. It was never a threat to land.

No hurricanes yet this year.

Title: Re: Pacific cyclones at there lowest levels in 5,000 years.
Post by: Oceander on August 27, 2013, 02:24:00 am
Andrea (tropical storm) moved up the Eastern seaboard back in June, bringing rain, but little sustained wind.
Barry (tropical storm) drove into Central Mexico and dissipated, much like Fernand is doing now.
Chantal (tropical storm) grazed Haiti and the Eastern tip of Cuba before moving up toward the Bahamas and shearing apart into a tropical depression.
Dorian (tropical storm) moved north of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic before taking a sharp right hook and heading out into the Atlantic.
Erin was a tropical storm briefly before hooking east and north about 600 miles west of Bermuda, about a week ago. It was never a threat to land.

No hurricanes yet this year.



I thought Barry was a false front that veered left and dissipated in D.C.?  :silly:
Title: Re: Pacific cyclones at there lowest levels in 5,000 years.
Post by: Atomic Cow on August 27, 2013, 03:06:39 am
Clearly caused by global warming.
Title: Re: Pacific cyclones at there lowest levels in 5,000 years.
Post by: rangerrebew on September 03, 2013, 06:38:23 pm
 Saint Algore of the Holy Gorans would agree with anything that claimed to be caused by "global warming." :silly: