The Briefing Room
General Category => Politics/Government => Topic started by: libertybele on August 11, 2019, 07:45:18 pm
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Justin Haskins: In 2020, socialism could flip Minnesota -- and the election -- to Trump
................Without Minnesota, the Democratic presidential candidate — regardless of who wins the primary race — would face a nearly insurmountable uphill battle. For example, even if the Democratic challenger were to flip Michigan and Pennsylvania to his or her side, it still wouldn’t be enough to win if Trump were to hold every other state he captured in 2020 and wins in Minnesota. Winning Minnesota would also mean that Trump could lose Florida and Arizona — two states he won in 2016 — and still end up with more than the required 270 electoral votes...................
..........Of course, beating the Democratic challenger in Minnesota is easier said than done. No Republican presidential candidate has won in Minnesota since Richard Nixon in 1972.
But Trump is not a “normal†Republican. He only lost Minnesota by a little more than 40,000 votes in 2016. Mitt Romney lost by more than 200,000.
And that only tells part of the story................
...............There’s another great reason to believe Trump has a good shot of winning Minnesota: Democrats are increasingly moving away from the policies swing voters in the state have long valued in favor of radical progressivism and even socialism. Democrats have moved so far to the left during the current election cycle that it’s becoming difficult to tell the difference between their party's platform and the platform of the Democratic Socialists of America.
Democrats no longer represent the party of John F. Kennedy or Bill Clinton. If Minnesota’s more moderate Democrats realize that, it could mean huge trouble for whomever the party’s left-wing base chooses to face off against Trump. And there’s a great reason to believe they will take notice thanks in part to freshman Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar...............
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2020-socialism-minnesota-election-trump-justin-haskins (https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2020-socialism-minnesota-election-trump-justin-haskins)
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I'd like to see this happen, but I'm a realist.
And the realist in me is whisperin' that Mr. Trump will be scramblin' to hold all the states he won in 2016.
If he does, I'll consider it a small miracle.
I hope to be proven completely wrong!
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(https://www.270towin.com/historical_maps/1984_large.png)
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(https://www.270towin.com/historical_maps/1984_large.png)
I don't see this scenario happening in 2020; just the opposite is more probable and likely.
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Would not surprise me at all to see that in 2020.
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No way is Maryland turning 'Red'.
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PA, MI, and WI all elected Dem governors, in the 2018 midterm cycle. That puts all of those states in play, for 2020. Additionally, the states of AZ and IA are in play. If the Democrats take back the first three states, Trump holds the rest, and takes Minnesota, that puts us at 269-269, with the election in the hands of the House.
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I don't see this scenario happening in 2020; just the opposite is more probable and likely.
I don't see either as anywhere near remotely likely, I was just commenting that MN is on crack.
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PA, MI, and WI all elected Dem governors, in the 2018 midterm cycle. That puts all of those states in play, for 2020. Additionally, the states of AZ and IA are in play. If the Democrats take back the first three states, Trump holds the rest, and takes Minnesota, that puts us at 269-269, with the election in the hands of the House.
Maryland has Hogan, a Republican governor. Doesn't mean a thing.
Feels like everybody inside and 20 miles outside the Beltway have lost their minds.
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Maryland has Hogan, a Republican governor. Doesn't mean a thing.
It means a little bit, when he’s been an outspoken critic of Trump and considered a 2020 challenge.
https://www.baltimoresun.com/politics/bs-md-hogan-presidential-potential-20190423-story.html (https://www.baltimoresun.com/politics/bs-md-hogan-presidential-potential-20190423-story.html)
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(https://www.270towin.com/historical_maps/1984_large.png)
Everyone knew Reagan would sweep, including the very astute gentleman himself, Ronald Reagan. Mondale was given the unenviable task of running against an immensely popular president. Mondale accepted the role knowing that he was taking one for the team and would nobly lose.
But in an act of comity rare in politics today, Reagan withdrew campaign activity from Minnesota to allow the native son Mondale, in the waning days of his political career, to win his home state.