The Briefing Room
General Category => Science, Technology and Knowledge => Energy => Topic started by: thackney on February 08, 2017, 03:52:23 pm
-
Global oil glut disappearing faster than expected
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/global-oil-glut-disappearing-faster-than-expected-2017-02-07
Feb 7, 2017
The global oil market is on track to be “relatively balanced” this year and next, according to the Energy Information Administration’s Short-Term Energy Outlook Report released Tuesday. That’s sooner than it previously expected.
The EIA had forecast small annual average supply builds in both 2017 and 2018, but changed it after “significant revisions” to historical data on liquid fuel consumption, which includes crude oil.
The agency’s January report had said that global oil markets were expected “to be more balanced by mid-2018,” with a rise in supply the first half of that year partially offset by a draw in the second half to result in an increase of about 0.1 million barrels a day for all of 2018.
In its report Tuesday, the EIA said it expects “the oil market to be relatively balanced in 2017 and 2018, with inventory draws averaging 0.1 million barrels a day in 2017 and builds averaging 0.2 million barrels a day in 2018.”
The revisions, which included an upward adjustment to 2016 Chinese oil consumption and supply and changes to demand outside of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, a group of developed world countries, “created a higher base for consumption during recent years and the forecast period,” the agency said....
http://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/special/supplements/2017/intldata/2017_sp_01.pdf
(http://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/fig32.png)
(http://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/fig6.png)
(http://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/fig9.png)
(http://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/fig11.png)
(http://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/fig12.png)
-
Peak oil. Peak oooilllll!!!
-
Peak oil. Peak oooilllll!!!
Oil production is a function of the price. We will produce less of it at low prices versus high prices.
After supply rose faster than demand with the higher prices, the past year saw demand rise more than supply with lower prices.
The global demand has grown rather steadily and is expected to continue to grow. If the supply growth doesn't keep up, expect higher prices. However, with the large amount of global oil already produced and in stocks, that price rise won't be as high or as certainly as fast.