The Briefing Room

General Category => Science, Technology and Knowledge => Energy => Topic started by: thackney on May 08, 2018, 03:36:37 pm

Title: Nuclear Power Outlook
Post by: thackney on May 08, 2018, 03:36:37 pm
Nuclear Power Outlook
https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/section_issues.php#npo (https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/section_issues.php#npo)
 5/7/18

In EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2018 (AEO2018) Reference case, U.S. nuclear power generating capacity is projected to decline from 99.3 gigawatts (GW) to 79.1 GW over the projection period of 2017–50. To address some of the uncertainty surrounding this projection, this article presents sensitivity cases under different assumptions for oil and natural gas availability, nuclear power unit costs, and carbon policies.

The sensitivity cases results presented here illustrate three different types of uncertainty (Table 1):

* The uncertainty related to higher or lower levels of natural gas availability as addressed in the High Oil and Natural Gas Resource and Technology case and the Low Oil and Natural Gas Resource and Technology case.

* The uncertainty of lower or higher operating and capital costs for both new and existing nuclear units.

* The uncertainty of alternative levels of carbon emissions regulation, as represented by different fees on the emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2)....

(https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/images/fig_if2-2_2018.png)

(https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/images/fig_if2-3_2018.png)

(https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/images/fig_if2-4_2018.png)

(https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/images/fig_if2-5_2018.png)
Title: Re: Nuclear Power Outlook
Post by: driftdiver on May 08, 2018, 03:39:20 pm
Shocking

So the outlook isn't glowing?

Title: Re: Nuclear Power Outlook
Post by: thackney on May 08, 2018, 03:40:59 pm
Shocking

So the outlook isn't glowing?

(https://m.popkey.co/68972c/brR3j.gif)
Title: Re: Nuclear Power Outlook
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on May 09, 2018, 03:25:40 am
Ironically, nuclear is the most efficient and least polluting of any source of power.

It main drawback is the increasing stockpiles of spent fuel and their ultimate disposition.
Title: Re: Nuclear Power Outlook
Post by: Joe Wooten on May 09, 2018, 11:40:36 am
Ironically, nuclear is the most efficient and least polluting of any source of power.

It main drawback is the increasing stockpiles of spent fuel and their ultimate disposition.

I disagree, the main drawback is the very high capital costs and the amount of time it takes to get one built. That's the main killer. Time and money and nukes are high on both.
Title: Re: Nuclear Power Outlook
Post by: thackney on May 09, 2018, 11:55:06 am
Ironically, nuclear is the most efficient and least polluting of any source of power.

It main drawback is the increasing stockpiles of spent fuel and their ultimate disposition.

When sanity is used, reprocessing of fuel greatly diminishes this drawback.
Title: Re: Nuclear Power Outlook
Post by: Suppressed on May 10, 2018, 03:49:25 pm
Funny thing is, the younger generation gets it.  They tend to be pro-nuclear, as they're so anti-carbon.