The Briefing Room

General Category => Politics/Government => Topic started by: Free Vulcan on October 06, 2018, 12:35:26 am

Title: Poll: Republicans surge past Dems in past week when asked if they’ll definitely vote this fall
Post by: Free Vulcan on October 06, 2018, 12:35:26 am

(https://hotair.com/wp/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/y.jpg)

Is the red wave happening?

Probably not, no, but you wouldn’t need a red wave to hold the Senate or even to add a few seats. All you’d need is solid turnout in red states.

The latest indicators from YouGov point to solid turnout.

“It’s just one poll,” a skeptic might say, but (a) it’s not just one poll and (b) the pros are detecting a shift in battlegrounds too.

Quote

    Cook moved Senate races in Montana, Nebraska and New Jersey all in favor of Republicans. Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) faces one of the most competitive race this cycle, which was shifted from “lean Democratic” to “toss-up.” Tester is running against state auditor Matt Rosendale (R) in a state where President Trump won by double-digits in 2016.

Jennifer Duffy, a Senate race analyst at Cook Political Report, said Tester initially looked likely to sail to reelection with a comfortable lead in polling and Rosendale facing a crowded primary. Duffy noted that the fight over Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination is energizing the GOP base, though she still gives Tester a slight advantage in the toss-up race.