General Category => Politics/Government => Topic started by: Millee on January 29, 2014, 07:20:43 pm
Title: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: Millee on January 29, 2014, 07:20:43 pm
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who made headlines last week after Democrats jumped on a comment he made about their treatment of women, is the new 2016 favorite of Republican primary voters, according to a new poll out Wednesday.
Huckabee leads the primary field with 16 percent of the vote in Public Policy Polling’s new national poll, up three points from PPP’s poll last month. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is also on the rise: he jumped to second place with 14 percent, up from 10 percent last month.
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who was the frontrunner in December with 19 percent of the vote, has fallen to 13 percent this month in the wake of the bridge scandal that has dogged him the past few weeks. But he still ranks third among the possible candidates.
Huckabee’s rise has come, in part, at the expense of Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, whose numbers fell from 14 percent last month to 8 percent this month. In PPP’s December poll, Cruz was the favorite among Republican primary voters who identify as “very conservative,” with 23 percent saying they favored him, compared to 14 percent who preferred Huckabee.
But in the January poll, possibly in light of all the attention he’s has received over the last week, Huckabee is now the favorite of very conservative voters with 23 percent support, while just 11 percent say they would vote for Cruz.
Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul is at 11 percent, and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan, and Cruz tie at 8 percent support. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is at 6 percent support, and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal is at 5 percent.
If Huckabee were to stay out of the race, Bush and Christie jump to the top with 18 percent and 17 percent respectively. Paul moves up to 13 percent and Cruz gets 11 percent.
The poll surveyed 457 Republican primary voters from January 23-26, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. With the election over two years away, polls at this point are hardly definitive, but they are indicative of shifting views of the potential contenders.
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: Millee on January 29, 2014, 07:26:03 pm
No. Just no. **nononono*
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: Relic on January 29, 2014, 07:26:16 pm
Huckabee?! Seriously?
Oddly enough, I can imagine how the establishment could get this guy the nomination. There is no way on God's green earth that Huckabee could be elected.
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: alicewonders on January 29, 2014, 07:29:56 pm
Here we go again. Does anyone really take these polls seriously? Huckabee?
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: aligncare on January 29, 2014, 07:55:27 pm
This far out, poll is meaningless. Not ready to hyperventilate just yet.
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: jmyrlefuller on January 29, 2014, 07:57:20 pm
Quote
Public Policy Polling’s new national poll
No need to read any further.
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: Lipstick on a Hillary on January 29, 2014, 08:05:38 pm
Huckabee would be the dream R candidate... for the PPP types. Push poll.
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: ABX on January 29, 2014, 08:24:44 pm
Well Golly (http://30daystox.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Gomer.jpg)
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: ABX on January 29, 2014, 08:36:20 pm
The PPP methodology (end of this doc) explains everything.
DC says 'Republicans have a new favorite', however, PPP's survey wasn't only Republicans.
This isn't 'the Republicans choosing', it is a sample of both parties of who they prefer. This could easily be who the Dems prefer. If you look at the favorable/unfavorable breakdown, it seems to indicate that the poll was heavily influenced by Democrats' opinions. Even with the D/R breakdown listed above, the poll questions also show a majority voted for Obama so you had a lot of Dems or left leaning moderates saying they were Republican in the sample.
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: MBB1984 on January 29, 2014, 08:49:07 pm
No kidding, I stopped right there. No way no how...... get rid of all these has-beens.
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: Fishrrman on January 30, 2014, 03:18:23 am
[[ Republicans have a new favorite for 2016 ]]
It's a measure of just how weak their field is, that Huckabee is drawing the highest percentage.
The only one in the article above who is worthy of consideration is Scott Walker, who has accomplished amazing things in Wisconsin. Here's an example of a hard-conservative Republican who can work his will in a blue state.
Isn't this what we need on a national scale?
And there's one other name I don't see on any of these lists. We all know who she is...
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: Atomic Cow on January 30, 2014, 04:11:03 am
PPP is polling for headlines.
Title: Re: Republicans have a new favorite for 2016
Post by: truth_seeker on January 30, 2014, 04:25:28 am
Pastor Huckabee could pick Friar Santorum for veep.