Biden leads Trump in Wisconsin,[50-44] but race narrows with RFK Jr. on ballot: poll

[mystery-ak]

 Biden leads Trump in Wisconsin, but race narrows with RFK Jr. on ballot: poll
By Social Links for Diana Glebova
Published May 8, 2024, 5:05 p.m. ET

President Biden has a clear lead over former President Donald Trump in the battleground state of Wisconsin, but the Democrat’s head-to-head cushion disappears when minor candidates are included, a new poll indicates.

The Quinnipiac University survey published Wednesday showed Biden with 50% support among registered voters while Trump could only manage 44%.

However, the two-party share of the vote drops below 80% when a trio of third-party candidates are introduced, with Biden receiving 40%, Trump getting 39%, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receiving 12%, Green Party candidate Jill Stein getting 4% and independent candidate Cornel West coming in at 1%.

The Quinnipiac University survey was conducted May 2-6 among 1,457 Wisconsin registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.

more
https://nypost.com/2024/05/08/us-news/biden-leads-trump-in-wisconsin-but-race-narrows-with-rfk-jr-on-ballot-poll/

[catfish1957]

2016 Trump won by 0.77%
2020 Trump lost by 0.63%

And now Quinnipac has this sitting as a 6.0% win for Biden?  It's a lot closer than that, and if you look at the RCP, this one is bald faced outlier....  Or is the DJT trial is having more impact than we thought?


The Hill/Emerson - Trump +2
CBS - Trump +1
Fox- Tie
Bloomberg- Trump- +4
Marquette- Trump- +2

[catfish1957]

Was still puzzled, and decided to do a deeper dive into the demographics and specifics of this strange poll.

https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/wi/wi05082024_wizz76.pdf

What kind of caught me off guard, and kind of kills the plausibility meter on this one was this data. 

Age 50-64.   Trump 48% Biden 48%
Age65+ Trump- 44% Biden 52%

Nope.......

[mystery-ak]

Thanks for the deep dive....

Age65+ Trump- 44% Biden 52%

I find this hard to believe...65 and over know first-hand the aging process and they see it displayed daily with Biden.....nope!