April 5, 2024
Why We Should Keep Lovin’ on RFK Jr.
By J. Robert Smith
Back in the 1950s, there was the Red Scare. Up until a couple of months ago, there was the “Kennedy Scare.” Corporate media was spinning that Robert Kennedy Jr. might swipe more votes from Donald Trump than creaky Joe Biden this autumn. That was never going to happen.
RFK Jr. is Donald Trump’s best chance to win the White House. A three-candidate race hurts Joe Biden. Okay, the state of nation matters, but with the electorate strongly polarized, the game is less about persuasion and mobilization than securing ballots. Independents count, but many are partisan leaners, so they aren’t truly independent-minded. Securing your side’s leaners is key in battleground states.
Why is Kennedy a factor? Elections and campaign analyst Jim Ellis (Ellis Insight) wrote, April 2:
[snip] while President Biden and former President Trump consistently find their approval ratings upside down in double digit point margins that are routinely closer to 20 rather than 10, Mr. Kennedy is always viewed as the more popular figure. Though his favorability index is only in slightly positive territory for the most part, generally from three to five percentage points, his standing is far superior to that of the two Presidents. [Italics added]
Ellis continued that national polls are indicators of candidate strengths and weaknesses, not election outcomes. Outcomes are state affairs.
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https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/04/why_we_should_keep_lovin_on_rfk_jr.html