The 8 places that will decide the 2024 election
Split Ticket, in a joint venture with POLITICO, divided the nation’s counties into eight clusters based on their demographics and political orientation.
By Lakshya Jain, Harrison Lavelle, Leon Sit, Armin Thomas and Andrew Milligan
09/12/2023 05:00 AM EDT
Updated: 09/12/2023 07:44 AM EDT
There are eight types of counties that will decide the 2024 presidential race.
The U.S. contains more than 3,100 counties, and Split Ticket — a data-driven election analysis website — developed an algorithm to divide them into clusters that best explain their political behavior using their demographic characteristics and recent electoral history.
These clusters power our game, “You Be the Campaign Manager,” which asks readers to choose between groups to increase a party’s chances of winning next year’s presidential election.
The eight clusters form an essential blueprint for the nation’s political architecture. The ways in which Americans organize themselves — in cities big and small, dense suburbs and rural expanses — transcend state lines, and so do the clusters. While the clusters contain names of counties, they are really all about the voters who reside there, and the different blocs of the electorate they represent.
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https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/12/2024-election-counties-split-ticket-00114940
