Thinking Worst Case Scenario

[Kamaji]

Thinking Worst Case Scenario

The right must come to grips with the fact that, for close to half of the electorate, leftist policies are in fact compelling.

Paul Gottfried
May 22, 2023

One might think that Joe Biden has done so much to ruin this country that by now he’s made himself unelectable. The problems caused by his administration, most recently the collapse of our southern border, have become so overwhelming that his partisans are having trouble changing the subject. In a recent poll, 62% of respondents think Biden is mentally unfit to serve a second term; 72% don’t want him to run again. The corruption of Biden and his family in selling favors to foreign governments has become a downright embarrassment; the cover-up by the surveillance state and Biden’s cabinet officers has not made the scandal go away. Although most Democrats may still vote for Biden, his support among independents is waning, and recent ABC-Washington Post polls indicate that even the very controversial Trump, despite his negatives, could beat Biden in a two-way race by 6 points. With the surging throngs of illegals now pouring across our border, it may be exceedingly hard, or so it might seem, for Biden to make headway against these figures.

Despite Biden’s daunting, largely self-inflicted problems, his political career may still not be over. According to RealClear Politics, our president would tie in a race against Ron DeSantis with each receiving 42.5 % of the electorate. Biden would do slightly worse in a race against Donald Trump but could still count on winning over 40% of the vote.  We’re always hearing that the Dems don’t have a strong bench if forced to replace Biden. But this may not be entirely true. There is one obvious replacement for Biden, namely Michelle Obama, who according to a recent Gallup poll has won the honor of being the most admired woman in the US for the third time in a row.

*  *  *

These observations about Biden’s and Michelle’s electability are not a prediction that either will inevitably win in 2024. What is being suggested, however, is that the left commands a force of over forty percent of the electorate, and these voters may not react negatively to what some of us on the right view as man-made catastrophes. These voters may in fact be delighted with what has happened at the border, which it is hoped will help create a permanent majority for their side and possibly turn the US further away from its Western Christian foundations.

If the “Transition to Green Energy” is creating financial hardship for ordinary Americans, it enjoys favor among other voters as the necessary price for “saving the planet.” For America’s woke constituency, genders are fluid and perhaps even arbitrary, and most of the Democratic electorate believe there should be unrestricted access to abortion as some kind of human right. Republicans should pay attention to this large, influential leftist bloc. Imagining that they’re dealing with a unified “people” may be a strategic mistake. Even more importantly, the idea the Democrats will likely lose if Biden’s approval numbers stay low, may be an illusion. The left has a large faithful electorate, no matter whom it chooses to run.



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Source:  https://www.theamericanconservative.com/thinking-worst-case-scenario/

[bigheadfred]

There is one obvious replacement for Biden, namely Michelle Obama, who according to a recent Gallup poll has won the honor of being the most admired woman in the US for the third time in a row.
 

IMO, Michelle is the second most unelectable Dem woman tagging closely on the heels of Hillary.

[Maj. Bill Martin]

Thinking Worst Case Scenario

The right must come to grips with the fact that, for close to half of the electorate, leftist policies are in fact compelling.

Paul Gottfried
May 22, 2023

One might think that Joe Biden has done so much to ruin this country that by now he’s made himself unelectable. The problems caused by his administration, most recently the collapse of our southern border, have become so overwhelming that his partisans are having trouble changing the subject. In a recent poll, 62% of respondents think Biden is mentally unfit to serve a second term; 72% don’t want him to run again. The corruption of Biden and his family in selling favors to foreign governments has become a downright embarrassment; the cover-up by the surveillance state and Biden’s cabinet officers has not made the scandal go away. Although most Democrats may still vote for Biden, his support among independents is waning, and recent ABC-Washington Post polls indicate that even the very controversial Trump, despite his negatives, could beat Biden in a two-way race by 6 points. With the surging throngs of illegals now pouring across our border, it may be exceedingly hard, or so it might seem, for Biden to make headway against these figures.

Despite Biden’s daunting, largely self-inflicted problems, his political career may still not be over. According to RealClear Politics, our president would tie in a race against Ron DeSantis with each receiving 42.5 % of the electorate. Biden would do slightly worse in a race against Donald Trump but could still count on winning over 40% of the vote.  We’re always hearing that the Dems don’t have a strong bench if forced to replace Biden. But this may not be entirely true. There is one obvious replacement for Biden, namely Michelle Obama, who according to a recent Gallup poll has won the honor of being the most admired woman in the US for the third time in a row.

*  *  *

These observations about Biden’s and Michelle’s electability are not a prediction that either will inevitably win in 2024. What is being suggested, however, is that the left commands a force of over forty percent of the electorate, and these voters may not react negatively to what some of us on the right view as man-made catastrophes. These voters may in fact be delighted with what has happened at the border, which it is hoped will help create a permanent majority for their side and possibly turn the US further away from its Western Christian foundations.

If the “Transition to Green Energy” is creating financial hardship for ordinary Americans, it enjoys favor among other voters as the necessary price for “saving the planet.” For America’s woke constituency, genders are fluid and perhaps even arbitrary, and most of the Democratic electorate believe there should be unrestricted access to abortion as some kind of human right. Republicans should pay attention to this large, influential leftist bloc. Imagining that they’re dealing with a unified “people” may be a strategic mistake. Even more importantly, the idea the Democrats will likely lose if Biden’s approval numbers stay low, may be an illusion. The left has a large faithful electorate, no matter whom it chooses to run.



*  *  *

Source:  https://www.theamericanconservative.com/thinking-worst-case-scenario/

This is exactly why it is credible that Biden got so many votes in 2020.

Historically, voting has take a certain amount of effort.  Obviously, you first have to remember that it is Election day.  You then have to find out where your polling place is, get your butt there, wait in line, and then actually vote.  The Dems got rid of a ton of that with early mail in voting in 2020.  You didn't even have to remember when Election Day is as long as you sit on your couch or in your coffee shop and fill out your ballot at some point before then.  And that helped the Dems get a lot of votes from a lot of mental degenerates who otherwise couldn't be bothered to vote.

So Biden himself didn't have to be wildly popular to get out the vote because you didn't have to get it out at all.  Any dislike of Trump was enough for some college kids and others who normally couldn't be bothered to take the minimal effort necessary to cast that vote in 2020.

Sure, there was some cheating too.  But it is without question that the Dems have a built-in constituency that doesn't care enough to research issues, is easily influenced, and can be induced to take the minimal effort necessary to cast a mail-in ballot.

[Fishrrman]

Paul Gottfried:
"Thinking Worst Case Scenario"

Fishrrman:
Mr. Gottfried, you have no idea what a "worst case scenario" could be, or is going to be.

Is it time yet for that new "Heartland Continental Congress"...?

[Smokin Joe]

IMO, Michelle is the second most unelectable Dem woman tagging closely on the heels of Hillary.

IMO, "she's" the reason for all the tranny normalizing.

[Kamaji]

This is exactly why it is credible that Biden got so many votes in 2020.

Historically, voting has take a certain amount of effort.  Obviously, you first have to remember that it is Election day.  You then have to find out where your polling place is, get your butt there, wait in line, and then actually vote.  The Dems got rid of a ton of that with early mail in voting in 2020.  You didn't even have to remember when Election Day is as long as you sit on your couch or in your coffee shop and fill out your ballot at some point before then.  And that helped the Dems get a lot of votes from a lot of mental degenerates who otherwise couldn't be bothered to vote.

So Biden himself didn't have to be wildly popular to get out the vote because you didn't have to get it out at all.  Any dislike of Trump was enough for some college kids and others who normally couldn't be bothered to take the minimal effort necessary to cast that vote in 2020.

Sure, there was some cheating too.  But it is without question that the Dems have a built-in constituency that doesn't care enough to research issues, is easily influenced, and can be induced to take the minimal effort necessary to cast a mail-in ballot.

Generally agree.  Personally, I think the cheating was more widespread than you give credence to; however, the basic problem there is that without the ability to audit elections, there are, unfortunately, few ways to prove that cheating except if one gets lucky enough to catch a grossly obvious example on video.