General Category > Weather
2023 Tropical Weather Discussion
catfish1957:
Hard to believe but we are only a few weeks away from Hurricane Season. Want to set up a thread so I can share tropical weather updates that may impact coastal Briefers. At least this year, we near the GOM are seeing a few degree temp anomaly, coupled with some wind vectoring (speed and direction) that might if the trend hold, give us an active early season, which normally for us is in June.
I know we normally think of these these being their worst in August and September, but there have been major hurricanes like Audrey in 1957 have hit in June, and have killed 100's.
Looking at the visual sat runs this morning, and wow, the GOM looks like an organizing mid and upper level low right at 96W/27N. No word yet of any development from the NHC, but I do know we are in for an extra we few days here.
Not sure the trend will continue, but if we are seeing robust lows this early, it might be an interesting June.
Cyber Liberty:
:bkmk:
libertybele:
--- Quote from: catfish1957 on May 09, 2023, 09:19:21 am ---Hard to believe but we are only a few weeks away from Hurricane Season. Want to set up a thread so I can share tropical weather updates that may impact coastal Briefers. At least this year, we near the GOM are seeing a few degree temp anomaly, coupled with some wind vectoring (speed and direction) that might if the trend hold, give us an active early season, which normally for us is in June.
I know we normally think of these these being their worst in August and September, but there have been major hurricanes like Audrey in 1957 have hit in June, and have killed 100's.
Looking at the visual sat runs this morning, and wow, the GOM looks like an organizing mid and upper level low right at 96W/27N. No word yet of any development from the NHC, but I do know we are in for an extra we few days here.
Not sure the trend will continue, but if we are seeing robust lows this early, it might be an interesting June.
--- End quote ---
Lots of blue tarps still on roofs around here. It's a mess, people are still waiting on insurance to handover $$ for claims and insurance companies are leaving and of course premiums are skyrocketing. Places are just starting to rebuild. Our area yacht club closed and they are rebuilding; it's going to be a year or so. So, it is hard to believe that hurricane season is about a week away.
catfish1957:
B and C Storms in the Caribbean and Atlantic right now (Brett and Cindy)
Neither at least at this juncture appear to be threats to the CONUS. My fear though is that ATL activity this early in the season may mean an active August and September, as there are some pretty nice sized warmer than usual plumes in those locations and eastwards this early.
Also a TX and Northern GOM heat wave this early doesn't help.
GtHawk:
I thought I saw reports that the Atlantic is seeing record heat(well record as far as we know) that is causing a higher risk of hurricanes earlier than normal.
Navigation
[0] Message Index
[#] Next page
Go to full version