How bad will the Dems get shellacked next week?

[libertybele]

Well I'm going with the theory that conservatives aren't responding to pollsters and therefore the pollsters have no idea what's truly coming down the pipe.
That if pollsters think it's close, it isn't - at least until proven otherwise...

I don't think we're going to see a red tsunami.

[roamer_1]

I don't think we're going to see a red tsunami.

I do.

[Hoodat]

We'll see a red tsunami.  And then six months from now, we'll see Republicans begin making excuses why they are unable to stop the Democrat agenda.

[roamer_1]

We'll see a red tsunami.  And then six months from now, we'll see Republicans begin making excuses why they are unable to stop the Democrat agenda.

Exactly. We have seen this play over and over and over again.
Exasperated, the American people decide for a change, overwhelmingly, and then

Nothing.

Happens every time.

[Smokin Joe]

I don't think we're going to see a red tsunami.

I am with you. There is still the Fraud Factor out there.

[DB]

Next week we'll know.

[Hoodat]

I don't think we're going to see a red tsunami.

The Republicans would fare exceedingly better if they actually offered an alternative to the Democrats.

[LMAO]

If history is a guide, yes but some in this new crop aren't going to play ball with that crowd. @roamer_1

Agree

[LMAO]

A 'shellacking" should also include Governors, statehouses, Attorneys General, and school boards.

Remember this when you vote.

Yup

I am really liking this Kari Lake. She’s one to watch while she governs AZ

[Cyber Liberty]

Yup

I am really liking this Kari Lake. She’s one to watch while she governs AZ

She has a good backup band, too, and they all do rallies as a team.

[Lando Lincoln]

It seems to me that Biden’s little speech last night may have done what Hillary’s deplorable speech did.

[libertybele]

The Republicans would fare exceedingly better if they actually offered an alternative to the Democrats.

Yes absolutely!!  That message has been very weak.

[Cyber Liberty]

Yes absolutely!!  That message has been very weak.

I'm hoping for The Red Wave, simply to show people bold is better than weak.  We may see some heretofore "moderates R's" straighten up their voting records in Congress.

[Polly Ticks]

I'm hoping for The Red Wave, simply to show people bold is better than weak.  We may see some heretofore "moderates R's" straighten up their voting records in Congress.

That would be an excellent outcome.

[cato potatoe]

Best guess ... and to guard against disappointment ... 20 seats in the House, and 1 additional senate seat.  By all rights there should be a large wave, but it has not materialized in the polling.  Aside from the midwest, the recent polling hasn't been lousy enough to discount entirely.  The weather will be unsettled in western states that mainly vote by mail, so maybe that is a nonfactor.

[Free Vulcan]

We've seen a huge shift in polling trends since summer towards Republicans, but the absolute numbers are still a mystery.

Polling has been way off the last few elections because even at the end it's still so tilted toward the Rats, due to a number of factors, but mostly because those voting GOP don't answer the polls, but show up to vote.

Even then there are extremely ominous signs that the Rats are cratering. Minorities have shifted away from them, the youth vote is not there, the blue collars are long gone, and the biggest of all - white suburban women in the last month have practically herded toward the GOP.

You have to ask yourself - where the heck is the Rat base vote going to come from? What is left to vote for them, and are even those going to show up?

To me that opens the possibility that this election might be something like '94 or better for the GOP, with them getting seats that weren't even on the radar. It's just too hard to guess, but I guarantee one thing - if things are going right, I will be up all night.

[Idiot]

We've seen a huge shift in polling trends since summer towards Republicans, but the absolute numbers are still a mystery.

Polling has been way off the last few elections because even at the end it's still so tilted toward the Rats, due to a number of factors, but mostly because those voting GOP don't answer the polls, but show up to vote.

Even then there are extremely ominous signs that the Rats are cratering. Minorities have shifted away from them, the youth vote is not there, the blue collars are long gone, and the biggest of all - white suburban women in the last month have practically herded toward the GOP.

You have to ask yourself - where the heck is the Rat base vote going to come from? What is left to vote for them, and are even those going to show up?

To me that opens the possibility that this election might be something like '94 or better for the GOP, with them getting seats that weren't even on the radar. It's just too hard to guess, but I guarantee one thing - if things are going right, I will be up all night.

It appears that you've not taken into account the most important item.....CHEATING.  It's gonna happen, the question is how bad will it be.

[Idiot]

Best guess ... and to guard against disappointment ... 20 seats in the House, and 1 additional senate seat.  By all rights there should be a large wave, but it has not materialized in the polling.  Aside from the midwest, the recent polling hasn't been lousy enough to discount entirely.  The weather will be unsettled in western states that mainly vote by mail, so maybe that is a nonfactor.

To be totally honest if your outcome occurs, our country is totally lost.  If there isn't a massive wave, God help us.

[Free Vulcan]

It appears that you've not taken into account the most important item.....CHEATING.  It's gonna happen, the question is how bad will it be.

The problem is that only in Governor and Senator races do urban counties have the ability to throw their weight, and a good chunk of those do not have Rats in the state leadership.

As far as the House, Detroit for example can't affect what goes on in Lansing, Ann Arbor, and Kalamazoo, and since it votes Rat anyway, it is of no help.

So yes, they can cheat, but not universally like in a Presidential race.

[cato potatoe]

To be totally honest if your outcome occurs, our country is totally lost.  If there isn't a massive wave, God help us.

Yes and I hope it is large enough to serve as a buffer against whatever happens in 2024.  But many contests rest on a knife's edge, and I fear some conservatives are suffering from irrational exuberance.  With JD Vance moving out of the danger zone, a pickup of 2 seats may be a reasonable expectation as of this morning. 

[Idiot]

Yes and I hope it is large enough to serve as a buffer against whatever happens in 2024.  But many contests rest on a knife's edge, and I fear some conservatives are suffering from irrational exuberance.  With JD Vance moving out of the danger zone, a pickup of 2 seats may be a reasonable expectation as of this morning.

But a pickup of 2 seats is really not so great.  We still have Mitt Romney, Murkowski and Collins.  They are basically democrats.  It needs to be a pickup of 5...

[Kamaji]

But a pickup of 2 seats is really not so great.  We still have Mitt Romney, Murkowski and Collins.  They are basically democrats.  It needs to be a pickup of 5...

[Lando Lincoln]

With respect to the “Red Wave” hitting the House elections, here is a reference point from the 2010 midterm election. Going in, the (R)’s held 179 seats. After the wave, they gained 63 seats to push the total to 242. Now, in 2022, the (R)’s hold 212 seats - a full 33 seats above the 2010 baseline.  If the (R)’s gain 30 seats through this cycle, they will match the result of 2010.

[roamer_1]

But a pickup of 2 seats is really not so great.  We still have Mitt Romney, Murkowski and Collins.  They are basically democrats.  It needs to be a pickup of 5...

Five won't matter either. Remember the Gang of Eight?

[Free Vulcan]

Five won't matter either. Remember the Gang of Eight?

Until we get rid of old smirky, squatty Mitch, we got nothin'.