Author Topic: A Senate Race That Shouldn’t Be Close But Is  (Read 207 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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A Senate Race That Shouldn’t Be Close But Is
« on: September 22, 2022, 05:25:50 pm »
A Senate Race That Shouldn’t Be Close But Is
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio falls below expectations — for now.
by Larry Thornberry
September 21, 2022, 11:58 PM

If the Republican Party is to have a chance this November to win a majority in the Senate, thereby throwing a spanner in the spokes of the radical Left agenda coming from whoever’s in charge at 1600 (we know the dummy’s name, but not that of the ventriloquist), it’s critical that Marco Rubio’s Senate seat not go to the Democrats. Hardly anyone thought this race would be competitive. Right now, it is. It shouldn’t be.

In almost 12 years in the Senate, Marco Rubio has compiled a consistently conservative voting record and has been vocal and articulate on the issues that matter. He’s specifically called out the Biden administration and Democrats generally for the policies that have led to ruinous inflation, an unchecked invasion through what used to be our southern border, suicidal energy policies, and spiking violent crime abetted by soft-on-crime Democrat non-prosecutors. All the things that a majority of Americans say they oppose and that have put America on the wrong track.

Val Demings, who has represented an Orlando congressional district for six years and is Rubio’s November opponent, also has a record. In stark contrast to the conservative Rubio, Deming’s record is one of an off-the-rack progressive. She’s been a consistent supporter of the things most Floridians say they don’t like and would like to put an end to. Those who like Joe Biden’s policies will love Val Demings because she’s supported all of them.

So how come polls consistently show Rubio with a lead within the margin of error? One in August even showed Demings ahead by four points. This is an outlier, with most others showing Rubio ahead by two or three points. A recent poll with a large and well-constructed sample shows Rubio ahead with 49 percent support compared to Demings’ 47 percent. FiveThirtyEight shows Rubio up by 3.9 percent.

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Online Fishrrman

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Re: A Senate Race That Shouldn’t Be Close But Is
« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2022, 10:42:43 pm »
A Fishrrman prediction:

That's the way it's going to be from now on. In the purple states, and even in some of the red states.

The "margins of victory" of the Republicans over the democrat-communists are going to shrink, slowly but relentlessly.

There is an increasingly-large cohort of leftist voters in nearly ALL the states, that is (and will forever remain) committed to the cause.

That's why even the strongest candidates of 2022 (such as Kari Lake in Arizona) will but "squeak by" to earn their wins.

Yet in blue states such as Connecticut the leftist governor Ned Lamont will not only win easily, but slam dunk the Republican candidate by the double digits.

A re-elected Donald Trump may slow this down for a few years (perhaps even a decade or two, if DeSantis succeeds him), but ultimately it will be a temporary renaissance, like New York City had during and after Giuliani's terms.

The left cannot be defeated in the leftist states. Not at the election box, anyway.

Is it time yet for that New Continental Congress ??

Offline goatprairie

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Re: A Senate Race That Shouldn’t Be Close But Is
« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2022, 12:28:02 am »
The race in Wisconsin for Senate between Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes shouldn't be close either, but it is. Barnes has a decent chance of winning although Johnson has been closing the gap in the polls with more aggressive ads. Not nearly aggressive enough for me.
Barnes is an AOC clone. He's a radical leftist trying to masquerade as a moderate Democrat. Except there aren't any moderate Dems left except for maybe Manchin.
« Last Edit: September 23, 2022, 01:00:29 am by goatprairie »

Offline massadvj

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Re: A Senate Race That Shouldn’t Be Close But Is
« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2022, 12:34:33 am »
I don't believe the polls in Florida.  When the votes are counted Rubio will win by 8 points.