I found out yesterday that my cousin's daughter and her family live on Sanibel Island. In all of their wisdom they stayed during the hurricane, thinking it was headed to Tampa. Their house on stilts survived, except for some water damage, but their truck floated away. Still can't believe they stayed....ughhhh. They are going to start school back for the kids on Monday I think they said, in another town, but with the same teachers.
Well, for days we were told it was going to make landfall at or around Tampa. Exactly the same mistake they made with hurricane Charley's path in '04. I can't exactly fault your cousin's daughter -- weather reports were not in agreement and evacuation orders were not clear and in fact confusing.
We knew this was coming up this side of the Gulf which is never a good thing as it means storm surge.
They 'advised' those on Ft. Myers Beach, Sanibel, Captiva, Pine Island and St. James city to evacuate when traffic was already heavy. (It took my friend 12 hours to get out of FL and she left 2 days before they started announcing evacuations).
They then evacuated Lee County in phases according to zones. They were by then certain of a direct hit -- and then mandated an evacuation of the barrier islands --how were all of us (780,000+) supposed to get out?? They announced that the bridges were closing and to evacuate or shelter in place by 8:00 p.m. Yet, they closed the bridges when the winds hit over 45mph. My daughter worked that night and had to go around barricades before the bridge to get home and with the winds worsening she knew there was no chance of evacuating the morning of the hurricane.
At 9:00 the night before the hurricane, with no warning from the local weather, no alerts, our zone was mandated to evacuate!! Yet, we were told ALL must be in place by 8:00. -- bridges were closing and it was too dangerous to be out. We experienced hurricane force winds earlier than projected.
The local weather stations, the local alert systems, city managers, the sheriff of Lee County ALL FAILED!! The sheriff got up and lied saying that people were warned to evacuate well in advance and he couldn't force them to leave. As a result people died.
We were hit hard for hours-- first the outer eyewall hit, then the eyewall hit and then we got slammed by the outer eye wall as it left. Many experienced significant storm surge, bridges collapsed.
Collier County saw storm surge as well and they were evacuated a day before Lee County. Lee County city managers were still debating and started evacuations a day and a half later!
Most importantly, there is no way to evacuate all of Collier County and Lee County within a couple of days. It is impossible. There is one exit north and one exit east -- with a couple of jaunts here and there that takes you around some traffic but you wind up in the same mess.