Ukraine 3

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Russian women in Moscow ordered to mobilize

[Hoodat]

Ukraine has captured Zelena Dolyna and Kolodyazi north of Lyman.  Russian forces in Lyman are about to be encircled.

[Hoodat]

Russian forces on brink of encirclement in Donetsk town

The fall of Lyman would be another major military setback for the Kremlin

Roland Oliphant  •  28 September 2022  •  6:51pm

Russian forces in the Donetsk region town of Lyman are on the brink of encirclement following Ukrainian gains to their north and east, pro-Russian military bloggers have said.

The claims could not be immediately verified, but the reported Ukrainian gains appeared to match images and videos released on social media by Ukrainian soldiers.

The fall of the town would be another military set-back for Russia and position the Ukrainians to push into Luhansk region, reversing the hard-won gains of Russia's summer offensive in Donbas.

It could be even more damaging politically, demonstrating that Russia has failed to stabilise its defensive line following the loss of Izyum and Kupyansk earlier this month.

'The city is in an extremely vulnerable situation'
"Ukrainian soldiers are releasing images of them raising a flag over the village council building in Novosyolovka. Thus from the north between Lyman and enemy forward elements of the remains only one settlement, Drobyshevo, and in all just a few kilometers of land..  .  .

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2022/09/28/russian-forces-brink-encirclement-donetsk-town/

[Hoodat]

Newly mobilised Russian troops and officers







This is reminiscent of Germany, 1945, sending old men to the front.

[240B]

Newly mobilised Russian troops and officers







This is reminiscent of Germany, 1945, sending old men to the front.

I read that Russia has waived any age restrictions, both young and old.
They are sending grandfathers and their grandchildren both to the frontlines.
BTW, these older guys and volunteer patriots are much more likely to be Putin supporters.
Putin is killing off his own base of support.

[240B]

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US embassy in Moscow urges its citizens to leave Russia immediately.
Earlier, Bulgaria, Poland and Estonia asked their citizens to leave Russia.

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If Putin annexes Eastern Ukraine, then Ukrainian Armed Forces will theoretically be instantly attacking the Russian nation.
All the current State and Global concerns about Ukraine attacking Russia will necessarily have to be lifted.
If Ukraine is attacking 'Russia' in the East, there is nothing to stop them from going North as well.
This could possibly lead to HIMARS hitting Minsk, and even Moscow. And it will be Russia who lit the greenlight for the attack.

[Gefn]

Putin plans to formally annex 4 regions from Ukraine Friday

MOSCOW — The Kremlin says Russian President Vladimir Putin intends to formally annex four territories from Ukraine on Friday — capping a week in which Moscow-backed proxies claimed victory in staged referendum votes condemned by Ukraine and the West.

Speaking to reporters Thursday, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Putin has summoned Russian lawmakers to the Kremlin's ornate St. George's Hall for a signing ceremony to incorporate the Ukrainian lands Friday 3 p.m. local time.

The Russian leader will also make a lengthy speech, Peskov said.

In a related move, Moscow authorities announced they would limit traffic in the city center on Friday ahead of a mass rally in support of annexation.

https://www.npr.org/2022/09/29/1125873787/russia-putin-plans-annex-ukraine-territories-friday

[Hoodat]

MOSCOW — The Kremlin says Russian President Vladimir Putin intends to formally annex four territories from Ukraine on Friday

Just want to put to rest the lies that were told earlier on these threads of how the Russians are protectors and liberators, and how Putin supported an independent Luhansk and Donetsk.

btw, over 3.000 sq. km of that territory has been recaptured by Ukrainian forces since the end of this phony referendum.  Does that mean that Russia is going to declare war on Ukraine?

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[Hoodat]

RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, SEPTEMBER 28

Karolina Hird, Katherine Lawlor, Grace Mappes, Riley Bailey, and Frederick W. Kagan  |  Sep 28, 2022

Key Takeaways

• Russian military leadership has likely failed to set information conditions for the potential defeat of the Russian grouping in Lyman, despite increasingly concerned discourse among Russian milbloggers regarding the potential for a Ukrainian envelopment of Lyman.
  
  
• The Kremlin could temporarily postpone announcing the annexation of Russian-occupied Ukrainian territory to better prepare the Russian information space and administrative organization, although September 30 remains the most likely date for some kind of annexation announcement.
  
  
• Russian authorities continue to send newly-mobilized and undertrained recruits to directly reinforce severely degraded remnants of various units, including units that were previously considered to be Russia’s premier conventional fighting forces.
  
  
• Ukrainian forces likely continued to make significant gains around Lyman on September 28, advancing from the north along the Zelena Dolyna-Kolodiazi arc and from the southeast around Yampil.
  
  
• Ukrainian military officials largely maintained operational silence regarding specific Ukrainian actions in Kherson Oblast on September 28 but stated that Ukrainian troops are continuing positional battles in unspecified locations to consolidate and improve their positions along the Southern Axis.
  
  
• Russian forces continued unsuccessful ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast.
  
  
• Russian military recruitment officials are openly contradicting the Kremlin’s publicly-stated guidelines for mobilization to meet quota requirements even as Kremlin propaganda is attempting to change the public perception of partial mobilization.
  
  
• Russian authorities are beginning to restrict movement of Russian citizens into Russian border regions to cope with hundreds of thousands of Russian men attempting to flee the country.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-28


With the recent shakeups in the Russian command structure, there is literally no one in position who is willing to order the retreat of Russian forces in Lyman.  They will sit there and be captured (along with their equipment) in the next few days.

[mountaineer]

A supermarket in Ukraine denying entry to a group of Jews near the border with Poland today. Hundreds of Jews are stuck for many hours near the Polish border, they fear that they will be stuck there for Shabbos.

https://twitter.com/TheBelaaz/status/1575458827104927745

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[mountaineer]

Newly mobilised Russian troops and officers

This is reminiscent of Germany, 1945, sending old men to the front.

Exactly my thought. Wow. I hope this (also) signifies the beginning of the end of the war.

[Hoodat]

A supermarket in Ukraine denying entry to a group of Jews near the border with Poland today. Hundreds of Jews are stuck for many hours near the Polish border, they fear that they will be stuck there for Shabbos.

@mountaineer , do you have any info on the context behind this?  Each year, a large number of Jews (mainly Hassid) make a pilgrimage to Uman around the time of Rosh Hashana.  Apparently, this pilgrimage is not being welcomed because of the influx of such a large group, and because of local religious opposition.


This is not to be excused.  Just wanted more details.  It could be an issue of having enough supplies during wartime.

[Hoodat]

Ukraine advance on Russian outpost challenges Putin’s grip on Donbas

Tom Balmforth and Jonathan Landay  |  September 29, 2022  |  11:55 AM EDT

KYIV, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Ukrainian troops are moving to capture the Russian-held eastern town of Lyman, threatening a new setback for Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin's campaign in the Donbas as he prepares to declare the region part of Russia.

The capture of the town in the north of Donetsk region could pave the way for Ukraine to make inroads into the adjacent Luhansk province, foiling Putin's goal of seizing all of the industrial Donbas region declared after his forces failed to subdue the entire country in February, military analysts said.  .  .

.  .  .  Lyman has served for months as a logistics and transport hub anchoring Russian operations in Donetsk region's north and its capture would be Kyiv's biggest gain since a lightning counter-offensive retook swathes of Kharkiv region this month.

The window is narrowing for Ukraine to make major advances before winter sets in, slowing down operations and giving Russia, which has declared a partial mobilisation, more time to fortify its lines.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-advance-russian-outpost-challenges-putins-grip-donbas-2022-09-29/

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RUN ORCS RUN
Video showing a platoon-sized group of Russians retreating in complete panic on foot in #Lyman, running from an area of cover into a kill zone. It has begun.
looks like ww2 movies from 1950s in color.
Only diffrence, in Movies there where attacking, not retreating.

from r/UkrainianConflict

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/comments/xrx202/video_showing_a_platoonsized_group_of_russians/

(THIS MAY BE DELETED BY THE GLOBAL POWERS WHICH CONTROL CONTENT ON THE INTERNET)

[mountaineer]

Pentagon working to form new command to coordinate arming and training Ukraine
By Oren Liebermann and Barbara Starr, CNN
Updated 8:17 PM EDT, Thu September 29, 2022

The Pentagon is working to form a new command to coordinate arming and training Ukraine, according to two US officials, in an effort to streamline what was a largely ad hoc process rapidly created in the wake of Russia’s invasion.

The new command, which would be based at Wiesbaden in Germany, would fall under Gen. Christopher Cavoli, the commander of US European Command, which has led the multinational effort to train Ukrainian military forces on advanced Western weapons and deliver those weapons to the border with Ukraine, one official said. It is expected to be led by a 3-star general.

But the US has been careful in how it discusses the plans, which the officials emphasized is not a major change to the current system of organizing and administering shipments. Officials are careful not to give Russian President Vladimir Putin a reason to claim the US is party to the conflict, especially given the elevated rhetoric coming from the Kremlin about the threat of nuclear weapons usage.  ...

Rest of story

[mountaineer]

Anna Ahronheim
@AAhronheim
Israeli intelligence firm @ImageSatIntl  has detected an “irregular presence” of Russian TU-160 & TU-95 strategic bombers deployed to Olenya Airbase. The base, on the Kola Peninsula, houses a significant number of military hardware, including tactical & strategic nuclear weapons

Thread:

https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1575893236383506432

[DB]

Give Ukraine the tools to shoot them down, if they don't already have those tools.

[Hoodat]

Anna Ahronheim
@AAhronheim

Israeli intelligence firm @ImageSatIntl  has detected an “irregular presence” of Russian TU-160 & TU-95 strategic bombers deployed to Olenya Airbase. The base, on the Kola Peninsula, houses a significant number of military hardware, including tactical & strategic nuclear weapons

This threat is directed at the United States, not Ukraine.  This airbase is only 4,000 miles from New York City.

Tu-160 has a range of 7,600 miles.  The Tu-95 has a range of 9,300 miles.

[Hoodat]

Survivors speak of horror as Zaporizhzhia convoy hit

James Waterhouse - BBC, Zaporizhzhia and Yaroslav Lukov - BBC, London  |  19 hours ago


The convoy had planned to go to the Russian-occupied part of the Zaporizhzhia region

At least 30 people have been killed and dozens more injured in a Russian rocket strike on a civilian convoy in south Ukraine, local officials say.

A huge crater next to a row of vehicles in the city of Zaporizhzhia testifies to the violence of the attack. Windows and windscreens were smashed in.

The BBC saw half a dozen bodies lying at the scene, apparently civilians. Baggage and coats strewed the tarmac.

One survivor told the BBC her boss had been killed in the attack.

"She had two kids. I left the cafe to use the restroom when it happened. I ran back and tried to find her. The cafe was demolished, there were many bodies around. It was all so very horrifying," Viktoriia Yosypenko said.  .  .

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63086697