Cheney may well win her primary. She is running against four others. If they split the vote, she wins.
And don't think for a moment the elite will not FIX her election, just like Biden's. Even if she wins by 0.1%, or one tenth of one percent, she wins.
And for all but the deaf and blind, she intends to run in 2024. Daddy with his billions will see to it she does better than good ole Jeb Bush did in 2016. He spent $100 million to get 1%. She believes she will do better, and I believe there is a strong chance one of these clowns runs as a 3rd party candidate, drawing away from Trump's totals, or DeSantis should Trump decide not to run.
If she and/or Kinzinger run in 2024, 3rd party, they might just knock Trump off with a 4%+ total that takes him out of the running in what will be a close election. Both have made their loyalties clear. I just do not see Trump becoming POTUS.
Part of it may well be the AMERICAN STATE NATIONAL movement. I know Trump is supportive of it all.