Senate Now Rated a Toss-up After Most Primaries Have Been Held
By Rick Moran Aug 04, 2022 12:43 PM ET
The race for control of the U.S. Senate is heading toward the home stretch and after almost all the primaries have been held, both Republicans and Democrats have a case to be made that they have a good shot at ending up with a majority of the upper chamber.
Reading the tea leaves this election is especially difficult. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the battle for Senate control a tossup. Others think the Republicans have a one or two-seat edge.
Even in a “red wave” election, winning the Senate is going to be an uphill battle for Republicans. Of the 35 seats up for grabs, Republicans are defending 21 of them while Democrats are defending only 14 seats, all of which are in states that voted for President Joe Biden in 2020. This limits Republicans’ offensive opportunities.
But there are several incumbents seen as vulnerable for a variety of reasons. Raphael Warnock won his special election in what most observers still see as a red state — Georgia. Mark Kelly is also running for re-election in a very red state — Arizona. A loss in either or both of those states would give the GOP control.
And in Nevada, Catherine Cortez Masto will have a real battle on her hands to fend off the strong challenge of state AG Adam Laxalt
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