No Dem Bounce from Roe Repeal: Emerson Poll
Voters continue to disapprove of Biden and favor Republicans.
by Stephan Kapustka
July 1, 2022, 11:29 PM
President Joe Biden’s approval rating has not changed following the release of Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Haealth Organization, according to a poll from Emerson College. The finding pours cold water on Democrats’ hopes that the reversal of Roe v. Wade would inspire a political backlash to their benefit.
According to the Emerson poll, 40 percent of voters approve of the job Biden is doing as president. Over half, 53 percent, disapprove. Emerson’s previous survey in May, before Roe was officially overturned, found that 38 percent of voters approved of Biden and 52 percent disapproved, a statistically insignificant difference.
Some commentators had suggested that overturning Roe would help the Democrats in the midterm elections. For example, New York Post columnist Michael Goodwin said that “the abortion ruling might be a political life raft for Dems in the fall midterms. In fact, it could be the best thing to happen to them since Donald Trump.”
Democratic leaders seemed to agree, latching onto left-wing anger following the decision. According to a report from Politico, Democrats are “hopeful” they can defeat the GOP by harnessing “women voters’ fury over abortion rights.”
The prime obstacle to Democrats this November is Biden’s approval rating. One of the main predictors of how the incumbent’s party will perform in midterm elections is the president’s approval rating. Biden’s job approval is poor; recent polls have it between 41 percent and 35 percent, significantly worse than where former President Donald Trump was at this point in his presidency. As a general rule, people who like the job the president is doing are likely to vote for his party, while people who dislike it are likely to vote for the opposing party.
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https://spectator.org/no-dem-bounce-from-roe-repeal-emerson-poll/
