Donald Trump has become more popular since the January 6 Capitol attackFormer President Donald Trump still manages to dominate the political headlines, nearly a year and half after leaving office. On Thursday, the House select committee investigating the January 6 attack on the US Capitol used its first prime-time hearing to make the case that Trump used his power to try and overturn the 2020 election result.
The committee faces political headwinds, however. A majority of Americans (55%) now believe that Trump was either not or only partially responsible for the rioters who overtook the Capitol, according to a recent NBC News poll. That's up from 47% in January 2021.
Trump's improving political position is where we begin today.
January 6 did little damage to Trump over the long term
Analysts like me remarked over and over again during Trump's time in office that he was one of, if not the most unpopular presidents. He left office with the lowest approval rating of any president at the end of his first term (39%) and the highest disapproval rating (58%) thanks in part to a late swoon following the events of January 6, 2021.
Today, Trump's polling position with Americans overall is one of his best, and he remains the front-runner for the 2024 Republican nomination.
The former President's favorable rating stands at 43% with an unfavorable rating of 52%. That makes for a net favorability rating of -9 points -- not particularly high, but then Trump was never particularly popular.
He averaged a net approval rating during his presidency of -12 points. A 3-point jump in net popularity may not seem like much, but his current net favorability rating is higher than 86% of his net approval ratings during his presidency. If nothing else, it's 10 points higher than his net approval rating at the end of his time in office.
In 2024 matchups against President Joe Biden, Trump is running a point or two ahead of Biden, on average. It wouldn't be particularly impressive for most politicians to be leading, within the margin of error, a President with a low-40s approval rating.
But being barely ahead or tied with Biden would have been a revelation for Trump in 2020. He managed to lead in only about 1% of all national polls taken in 2020 -- and in none that met CNN's standards for publication.
In raw numbers, Trump's been ahead in more polls against Biden over the past few months than he was for the entirety of 2020.............
https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/11/politics/donald-trump-january-6-democrats-moderate/index.html
