Reasons to Criticize Biden’s Intelligence on Russia
Overestimating the risk is a self-fulfilling prophecy.
By Bruce Oliver Newsome
February 14, 2022
The Biden Administration spent nearly a year distributing intelligence about Russian military deployments, before warning all Americans to leave Ukraine. It claims February 16 as the likeliest date for a Russian invasion. But Ukraine itself denies that an invasion is imminent. Ukrainians go about their normal business, hit the ski slopes on weekends, and protest that they’re not leaving.
How to explain the differing U.S. and Ukrainian postures?
The xenophobic assumption is that the Ukrainians don’t know any better. But Ukraine has the best human intelligence on its own borders. The United States has the best technical intelligence, such as imagery, signals intercepts, and hacks. Technical intelligence can easily prove military deployments, but human intelligence proves intent.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has already proven aggressive, expansionist intentions in Ukraine. In 2014, Russia invaded Crimea, Luhansk, Donetsk, and Kharkiv, in response to Kyiv’s pro-Western revolution. Putin is an opportunist. Just because he wants more of Ukraine given the opportunity, doesn’t mean that he is intent on invading when the Biden Administration says so.
More importantly, the Biden Administration’s frequent claims that invasion is “imminent” are self-fulfilling prophecies. Biden is desensitizing everybody to the shock of yet another aggressive war in Europe. The more desensitized we are to Putin’s wars, the less risky they are for Putin.
more
https://amgreatness.com/2022/02/14/reasons-to-criticize-bidens-intelligence-on-russia/
