Author Topic: A dozen national security “Green Swans” for 2022!  (Read 101 times)

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A dozen national security “Green Swans” for 2022!
« on: January 03, 2022, 01:12:49 pm »
A dozen national security “Green Swans” for 2022!

by Charlie Dunlap, J.D. · 28 December 2021

“If only…”is a mind game that often ruminates on the past, but “What if…?” allows us to speculate on the future, to hope, to look not for make-believe unicorns but instead to keep watch for national security “Green Swans.”

We’ve all seen green swans and experienced them but may not even have realized it.  The term “green swan” is a metaphor for an event that is unexpected but has a positive effect.  In a 2018 post, Lawfire first applied the term “green swan” in the national security context.

That previous post highlighted several possible “green swans.” In this post, we will identify some new possibilities as well as revive (or revise) some examples previously suggested. Remember:  these haven’t happened – yet, but let’s be hopeful!   

Consider these potential “Green Swans” for 2022 and imagine “what if?”:

https://sites.duke.edu/lawfire/2021/12/28/a-dozen-national-security-green-swans-for-2022/