If the Supremes overturn Roe v. Wade, will it affect the midterms?

[mystery-ak]

December 4, 2021
If the Supremes overturn Roe v. Wade, will it affect the midterms?
By Andrea Widburg

This past week, the Supreme Court heard oral argument in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, a case that has the potential to reverse Roe v. Wade. Some justices’ questions left pro-Life people optimistic that Roe is on its way out and pro-abortionists hysterical for the same reason. For leftists, though, the silver lining in losing Roe is that it might galvanize voters in 2022, preventing what looks as if it will be a red tsunami. However, Megan McArdle, a sensible leftist (which sounds like an oxymoron), believes Democrats and progressives are misreading the political tea leaves.

I don’t believe that the Supreme Court will reverse Roe v. Wade. We’ve all seen that Chief Justice Roberts, while conservative on the smaller issues that don’t matter too much to Democrats, is a reliable leftist vote on the big matters, whether it’s Obamacare or same-sex marriage.

The same pattern shows up with Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, and Barrett: When the Democrats need an outcome, one of them becomes the sacrificial lamb, betraying the Constitution. I won’t speculate why this is so; it’s enough to say that it is what it is. Therefore, I’m pretty sure that, even if Roe v. Wade is blunted slightly, it will continue to exist.

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https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2021/12/if_the_supremes_overturn_roe_v_wade_will_it_affect_the_midterms.html

[Hoodat]

For reasonable people, it shouldn't.  Congress has continued to abdicate is power regarding abortion law.  Congress forfeited this to the States long ago.

[LMAO]

To some degree, possibly

Mostly by people who would never vote Republican anyways. There might be an increase in those voters showing up on election night

[libertybele]

To some degree, possibly

Mostly by people who would never vote Republican anyways. There might be an increase in those voters showing up on election night

I don't see the SCOTUS ruling in favor of because of Roberts and it's anybody's guess what the 3 appointed newbies will do.  IF the justices rule against, if anything it will discourage Republicans from voting.

[Right_in_Virginia]

I seriously doubt Roe v Wade will be overturned; --- we know how Roberts reacts to the threat of riots.

[Hoodat]

I think Roberts will decide against States rights under the 10th Amendment, but will instead try to rewrite Roe by lowering the viability definition by six weeks.  Breyer could even join him on this.  Kavanaugh, Alito, Gorsuch, and Thomas will all support Mississippi's right to set their own abortion law.  That leaves Barrett, as the unknown.  And I can't see her siding with either Sotomayor/Kagan or with Roberts.

[catfish1957]

I seriously doubt Roe v Wade will be overturned; --- we know how Roberts reacts to the threat of riots.

Or how he rules during any important close case.....    Rats have too much dirt of the CJ, and use that card when they need to.

[Fishrrman]

Title and presumption:
"If the Supremes overturn Roe v. Wade, will it affect the midterms?"

Anyone who tries to deny this is a-whistlin' past the graveyard.

It will energize the left as not-seen since the 1960s. (or blm/antifa)
it will "tear away" a sizable cohort of so-called "independents" who had been leaning towards the right.
It may even weaken the support of at least some Republican women.

It won't change the political tilt of either the blue or red states (many of the blue states have "abortion rights" written into their state constitutions or laws).
But it could "tip" some of the purple states leftwards again.

There's a good chance The Court will sit on the decision like it does for all major decisions, not releasing it until the end of the current session, which will be mid-June next year. Again... right in time to whip up a political tornado before the midterms.

If the decision comes then, and if it substantially or totally voids Roe, then expect this to become "the issue" for the midterms.

Can't, and won't predict which side will make the most of it.
We shall see.

Hmmm....
Who here remembers the Pogo cartoon:
"The Supreme Court follows the illiction returns..."   ???

The conservatives on The Court realize what it will mean to toss Roe.
For that reason, I'm predicting that whatever decision they render is going to be very narrow in scope...

[libertybele]

I think Roberts will decide against States rights under the 10th Amendment, but will instead try to rewrite Roe by lowering the viability definition by six weeks.  Breyer could even join him on this.  Kavanaugh, Alito, Gorsuch, and Thomas will all support Mississippi's right to set their own abortion law.  That leaves Barrett, as the unknown.  And I can't see her siding with either Sotomayor/Kagan or with Roberts.

 I'm not so sure about the 3 newbies....though they are supposedly conservative. Roberts has always been the wild card and more times than not he's ruled more liberally.

I think the newbies just may surprise us and vote against Mississippi's rights.  That will open up a whole can of worms.