Author Topic: Byron York: The 2020 Polling Disaster  (Read 70 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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Byron York: The 2020 Polling Disaster
« on: July 21, 2021, 09:12:49 AM »
The 2020 Polling Disaster
Byron York

Posted: Jul 21, 2021 12:01 AM

As the last presidential election approached, one could sense that something was wrong with the polls. The race felt tighter than the polls indicated, and specifically, Joe Biden's solid lead in the polls felt less solid than the surveys suggested. As they had in 2016, pollsters appeared on their way to underestimating the vote for Donald Trump. That did not mean Trump was actually leading the race, or that he would win -- and in the end, he did not -- but that the contest was closer than the polls said.

Now it turns out that feeling was right. And the polls were not only wrong, but more wrong than they had been in decades, including their dismal performance in 2016. A new report from the American Association for Public Opinion Research has found that national election polls overstated Biden's lead over Trump by 3.9 percentage points. And state-level polls were even worse, overstating Biden's lead by 4.3 points.

The polls' performances in statewide races -- campaigns for senator and governor -- were worse still. There, they overstated the Democratic candidates' lead by an average of 6 percentage points.

more
https://townhall.com/columnists/byronyork/2021/07/21/the-2020-polling-disaster-n2592838
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Online Bigun

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Re: Byron York: The 2020 Polling Disaster
« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2021, 10:14:06 AM »
Polls :3:
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

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Re: Byron York: The 2020 Polling Disaster
« Reply #2 on: July 21, 2021, 06:38:54 PM »
Mr. York:
"Now it turns out that feeling was right. And the polls were not only wrong, but more wrong than they had been in decades, including their dismal performance in 2016."

I think Mr. York has entirely missed the emergence of "the underground election apparatus" constructed by the demo-communists to "control" the 2020 election in key states.

The apparatus was designed (and worked very well) to operate independently of "polls" to produce the required results.

A Fishrrman "you read it here on the GOP Briefingroom first" prediction:
From this point onward, polls are going to become less and less relevant and predictive of final election tallies, because -- again -- polls are irrelevant when one side has in place the "apparatus" to produce a desired result, regardless of how people really voted.